Prediction for match Lecce — Lazio, 24.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 24, in Serie A, Lecce will face Lazio, and according to the bookmakers, Lazio holds the advantage. Lazio's victory is priced at 2.13, with a 46.28% probability. A draw is offered at odds of 3.20, with a 30.80% chance, while Lecce's win is at 4.30 with a 22.92% probability. Thus, Lazio is seen as the main contender for victory, but a draw also has significant backing in percentages. The line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, but Lazio's win stands out as the most likely outcome based on the aggregate odds and probabilities. The current tournament situation and team motivation are not considered here, with the focus solely on statistics and numbers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lecce lost 0-1 to Milan, were defeated 0-1 by Inter, and fell short to Parma 1-2. Previously, they played 0-2 against Roma and drew 1-1 with Juventus. Lazio, in their most recent game, unexpectedly lost 0-3 to Como, before beating Verona 1-0, drawing 2-2 with Fiorentina, losing 0-2 to Napoli, and sharing points with Udinese 1-1. On average, over the last 5 games, Lecce had 36.6% possession, made 2.2 corners, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 11.6 fouls, and were caught offside 0.6 times. Lazio had higher possession at 47.2%, earned 4 corners, received 3.4 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and were offside 1 time. The last head-to-head match was on November 23, 2025, where Lazio won 2-0. These stats reflect the difference in style and discipline between the teams, as well as their approach to play in different areas of the field.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Lecce's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred once, and under 2.5 goals happened four times. For Lazio, over 2.5 goals was recorded twice, and under 2.5 goals three times. Lecce's average goals per match over 5 games is 1.8, with the team scoring an average of 0.4 and conceding 1.4. Lazio's average total goals per game is 2.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. By halves, Lecce never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, but did twice in the second half out of 5 games. Lazio had over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves. Lecce most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Lazio does so in the same interval (67%). Lecce concedes most between the 61st and 75th minutes (60%), and Lazio between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%). These data suggest that both teams are not highly prolific, especially Lecce, and often play to under 2.5 goals. Coupled with low average scoring and frequent under 2.5 totals for both sides, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.49 seems the main option for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lecce averages 2.2 corners per match, Lazio 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times out of 5 for Lecce, and 2 times out of 5 for Lazio. The line offers options for corner totals: over 8.5 is priced at 1.63, under 8.5 at 2.15. You can also consider over 9.5 at 2.02 and under 9.5 at 1.70. For the outcome on corners, Lazio is favored at 1.80. Based on the average sum of corners for both teams (6.2), the most logical option appears to be under 8.5 corners, considering that neither team shows high activity in this indicator. Overall, the match does not promise a large number of corners, and a bet on a low total in this component seems justified.