Prediction for match Lecce — Torino, 30.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Italian Serie A on November 30, Lecce will face Torino. According to the 1X2 odds, Torino is slightly favored with odds of 2.71 for their win, a draw is at 3.08, and Lecce's victory is at 3.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lecce - 31.74%, draw - 31.95%, Torino - 36.31%. This setup indicates no clear dominance by either team, although Torino has a slight edge in calculated chances. For comparison, the double chance on Lecce or a draw is at 1.52, reflecting the potential for a closely contested match.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Lecce averaged 45.2% possession, committed 13.2 fouls, received 1.4 yellow cards, and was caught offside once per game. Torino's stats in the same period: 43% possession, 11.6 fouls, 1.6 yellow cards, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Lecce lost to Lazio 0-2 (23.11), drew 0-0 with Verona (08.11), and beat Fiorentina 1-0 (02.11). Torino in their last three games lost to Como 1-5 (24.11), drew 0-0 with Juventus (08.11), and tied 2-2 with Pisa (02.11). In their recent head-to-head on May 18, Lecce defeated Torino 1-0 - the total under 2.5 was not surpassed.

Goals and Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Lecce's total over 2.5 occurred once, under - four times. For Torino, over 2.5 happened three times, under - twice. In the first halves, Lecce had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Torino - 2 out of 5. In the second halves, both teams had 2 occurrences over 1.5 out of 5. Average stats: Lecce - 1.8 goals per game, Torino - 2.6. Lecce scored an average of 0.6 and conceded 1.2, while Torino scored 1 and conceded 1.6. Lecce most frequently scores between minutes 16-30 (33%) and 76-90 (33%), while Torino scores most often between 31-45 (60%). For goals conceded: Lecce spreads them across four intervals, Torino concedes most often early (0-15, 25%) and late (76-90, 25%). Given Lecce's low scoring and Torino's moderate, along with Lecce's frequent under 2.5 totals and Torino's moderate, a bet on under 2.5 at 1.45 seems logical. In Lecce's last 5 matches, under 2.5 occurred 4 times, with Torino - 2 times. Both teams rarely produce high-scoring halves, especially Lecce. On average, Lecce scores less than one goal per game, and Torino exactly one. This confirms Lecce's cautious play style and Torino's not-so-high attacking productivity. The low-scoring bet is also supported by the fact that both teams are not inclined to score many goals in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over their last five matches, Lecce averages 5 corners, Torino - 4.2. In 2 out of 5 games, Lecce's total corners exceeded 9.5, for Torino - 1 out of 5. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5, there is a pair: over 9.5 is at 1.91, under 9.5 at 1.83. Lecce's win on corners is at 2.00, Torino - 2.17. Based on current figures, expecting 8-10 corners per game is logical, as both teams' averages fall within this range. Torino is slightly less consistent on corners, while Lecce tends to deliver more. In their last five matches, Lecce averaged 5 corners, and Torino - 4.2. Based on frequencies, a bet on corners under 9.5 looks slightly more reliable, but the difference between the teams in this aspect is not significant.