Prediction for match Leeds — Arsenal, 31.01.2026

Match Analysis: Leeds vs Arsenal

In the English Premier League on January 31, 2026, Leeds will face Arsenal. The odds for the match outcomes are quite telling: Arsenal's win is priced at 1.57, a draw at 4.42, and Leeds' victory at 6.50. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Leeds - 15.13%, Draw - 22.25%, Arsenal - 62.63%. Arsenal appears to be the favorite according to all key parameters, which is supported by the statistics from recent encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leeds had an average possession of 47.4%, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 9.2 fouls, and were caught offside 2.4 times per game. Arsenal, on these counts, is noticeably more active: 55% possession, 1.8 yellows, 14 fouls, and 2 offsides. Leeds' last three results were: January 26 - Everton 1-1 Leeds, January 17 - Leeds 1-0 Fulham, January 11 - Derby County 1-3 Leeds. Arsenal played as follows: January 28 - Arsenal 3-2 Kairat Almaty, January 25 - Arsenal 2-3 Manchester United, January 20 - Inter 1-3 Arsenal. In the last head-to-head meeting on August 23, 2025, Arsenal crushed Leeds 5-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average number of goals in Leeds' matches over five games is 3.2, while for Arsenal it's 3.8. Leeds scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4, Arsenal scored 2.2 times per game and conceded 1.6. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Leeds had 2 out of 5, Arsenal 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Leeds 2 times out of 5, and for Arsenal 3 out of 5. In the second half, Leeds had 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, Arsenal 2 out of 5. As for goal intervals: Leeds most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th (33%). Arsenal regularly scores in three different segments: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (25% each). Arsenal's conceded goals are distributed at the start and end of the match (0-15 and 76-90 at 27% each). Considering Arsenal's high scoring rate, their consistent over 2.5 goals record, and Leeds' decent attacking stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Leeds averages 5.2 corners per match, Arsenal - 9. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Leeds has 4 out of 5, Arsenal 5 out of 5. Among the offered corner totals, there's a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.98, under 9.5 also at 1.98. Arsenal is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.42. The combined figures of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 suggest a bet on over 9.5 corners as one of the logical choices for this match.