Prediction for match Leeds — Aston Villa, 23.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The match between Leeds and Aston Villa in the Premier League is scheduled for November 23, 2025. According to the odds, Aston Villa is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.48, Leeds at 3.17, and a draw at 3.37. In terms of probability percentages, Leeds has 31.07%, a draw 29.22%, and Aston Villa 39.71%. The over/under 2.5 goals is set at: over - 2.20, under - 1.78. For both teams to score: yes - 1.82, no - 1.90. Other notable lines include Leeds' individual total over 1 at 1.87 and Aston Villa's over 1 at 1.64, as well as the second half total over 1.5 at 2.34.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leeds had an average possession of 54.2%, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Aston Villa averaged 56.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Leeds' results for the last five games: November 9 - Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds, November 1 - Brighton 3-0 Leeds, October 24 - Leeds 2-1 West Ham. Aston Villa's results: November 9 - Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth, November 6 - Aston Villa 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv, November 1 - Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa. In their head-to-head match on January 13, 2023, Aston Villa beat Leeds 2-1, with the total over 2.5.

How Many Goals in the Leeds vs Aston Villa Match

In the last five matches, Leeds had over 2.5 goals in 4 games and under in 1, while Aston Villa had over 2.5 in 2 games and under in 3. In the first half, Leeds had over 1.5 goals three times, and in the second half, twice over 1.5. Aston Villa similarly had two matches with over 1.5 goals in each half over 5 games. Average stats: Leeds - 3 goals per game, Aston Villa - 2.4. Leeds scores an average of 0.8 and concedes 2.2, Aston Villa scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8. Leeds often scores in the 0-15 (36%) and 61-75 (36%) intervals, while Aston Villa scores in the 31-45 (36%) interval. In terms of goals conceded, Leeds is evenly spread across four intervals at 25% each, while Aston Villa concedes most in the 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Given Leeds' low scoring and Aston Villa's frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 at 1.78 is logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leeds averages 4.6 corners per match, Aston Villa 5.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Leeds has two out of five, Aston Villa three out of five. The line for total corners over 8.5 is at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.41. Leeds is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.95. Recent game statistics suggest both teams can consistently earn corners, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Aston Villa averages more corner kicks, which might influence this metric's dynamics.