Prediction for match Leeds — Chelsea, 03.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the marquee Premier League clash, Leeds will face Chelsea on December 3, 2025. The odds for Chelsea to win are 1.80, a draw is at 4.12, and a Leeds victory is priced at 4.62. In terms of outcome probabilities: Chelsea 54.75%, draw 23.92%, Leeds 21.33%. Chelsea is considered the favorite, but Leeds' recent performances suggest they can pose a challenge. Chelsea's win odds of 1.80 reflect their probability advantage. Expect an attacking game from both sides, given their recent goal-scoring records.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leeds played as follows: November 29 Manchester City - Leeds 3-2, November 23 Leeds - Aston Villa 1-2, November 9 Nottingham Forest - Leeds 3-1. Chelsea's last three games were: November 30 Chelsea - Arsenal 1-1, November 25 Chelsea - Barcelona 3-0, November 22 Burnley - Chelsea 0-2. In their most recent head-to-head on February 28, 2024, Chelsea defeated Leeds 3-2. Additional stats: Leeds averages 46.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game in their last five matches. Chelsea averages 54.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. These figures indicate Chelsea's superior discipline and ball control, but Leeds is equally active in attack.

Goal Scoring Trends

Leeds has consistently shown goal-scoring form over five games: 5 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 3.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. Chelsea, in the same period, exceeded 2.5 goals three times, with an average total of 2.8 goals in their matches, scoring 2.2 and conceding only 0.6. In first halves, Leeds had 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Chelsea had only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Leeds exceeded 1.5 goals four times, Chelsea three times. Leeds most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute range (50%) and concedes in the 61-75 minute range (43%). Chelsea scores most often in the second half: 33% of goals in the 46-60 and 61-75 minute intervals, and concedes mainly between 46-60 minutes (40%). Overall, both teams tend towards high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Given that Leeds regularly surpasses the Over 2.5, and Chelsea consistently scores while conceding few, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.89 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Leeds averages 3.6 over 5 matches, Chelsea 6.8. In a five-match series, Leeds exceeded 9.5 corners twice, Chelsea three times. The nearest total with Over/Under odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.82, under 9.5 - 1.88. Chelsea is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.67. Considering Chelsea's high corner average and Leeds' moderate figures, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Individual corner totals for Chelsea could also be considered, as they consistently deliver more than 6 per game.