Prediction for match Leeds — Crystal Palace

Match Analysis: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

On December 20th, in the English Premier League, Leeds will face Crystal Palace. The odds for a Leeds victory are 2.75, for a Crystal Palace win - 2.81, and a draw is priced at 3.37. The probability percentages are: Leeds - 35.78%, Crystal Palace - 35.02%, draw - 29.20%. The odds and probabilities suggest that both teams have nearly equal chances, with a tendency towards attacking football from both sides. Betting on total goals and both teams to score seems relevant for this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Leeds has an average possession of 40.6%, records 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Crystal Palace, over the same period, holds the ball 44.4% of the time, receives 1 yellow card, makes 10.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent results for Leeds: December 14th - Brentford vs Leeds 1-1, December 6th - Leeds vs Liverpool 3-3, December 3rd - Leeds vs Chelsea 3-1. For Crystal Palace: December 14th - Crystal Palace vs Manchester City 0-3, December 11th - Shelbourne vs Crystal Palace 0-3, December 7th - Fulham vs Crystal Palace 1-2. In their last head-to-head on April 9, 2023, Leeds lost to Crystal Palace 1-5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Leeds shows an average total of 4 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 2 per game. Crystal Palace averages 2.6 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. In the first half, both have gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, while in the second half, Leeds has gone over 1.5 goals in all 5, and Crystal Palace in 2 out of 5. Leeds most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (36%), while Crystal Palace scores most often towards the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 100%). Leeds concedes most often at the start of the second half (46-60 minutes, 50%), and Crystal Palace closer to halftime (31-45 minutes, 27%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, the frequent over 2.5 goals, and their activity in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.17 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Leeds averages 3.2 corners over 5 matches, while Crystal Palace averages 4.4. For going over 9.5 total corners: Leeds has none out of 5, Crystal Palace has 2 out of 5. The total closest to their average (7.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.32, under 7.5 at 2.88. Leeds is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds at 1.89. A high number of corners is not expected - both teams average less than 5 per game, and a total of 7.5 seems optimal for betting.