Prediction for match Leeds — Fulham, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Premier League on January 17, Leeds will face Fulham. The odds for a Leeds victory are 2.36, a win for Fulham is set at 3.37, and a draw is priced at 3.39. The probability distribution is as follows: Leeds - 41.73%, draw - 29.05%, Fulham - 29.22%. Bookmakers have Leeds as the favorite, but the percentage gap between the teams is not significant. This match is expected to be a tight contest, with both sides capable of imposing their game. The betting odds look quite balanced, although Leeds holds a slight edge according to the assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leeds has an average possession of 47.2%, receives 1 yellow card, commits 8.8 fouls, and has 1.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Fulham averages 53.8% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and has 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Leeds played as follows: January 11, Derby County - Leeds 1-3, January 7, Newcastle - Leeds 4-3, January 4, Leeds - Manchester United 1-1. Fulham's last three games were: January 10, Fulham - Middlesbrough 3-1, January 7, Fulham - Chelsea 2-1, January 4, Fulham - Liverpool 2-2. In their last head-to-head on September 13, 2025, Fulham defeated Leeds 1-0.

Goal Scoring Patterns

In terms of scoring, Leeds has an average total of 3 goals in their last 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per match. Fulham has an average total of 2.8, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 total goals: Leeds has 2 out of 5 games over, Fulham has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Leeds has 2 out of 5 games over 1.5, while Fulham has all 5 games under 1.5. In the second half, both teams have 3 out of 5 games over 1.5. Leeds most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while Fulham scores most often in the 76th-90th minute (50%). Leeds concedes most during the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each), while Fulham concedes most frequently at the end (76th-90th minute, 50%). This data suggests both teams are prone to scoring, especially in the second half. Both teams have goal averages above 1.5 per game, with average totals close to 3. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.18 seems logical, considering the regularity of this total and second-half activity.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leeds averages 5.4 corners per game, Fulham 3. For over 9.5 corners, Leeds has 5 out of 5 games over, Fulham 2 out of 5. The nearest sum of average totals is 8.5, with two outcomes: over 8.5 corners at 1.42, under 8.5 at 2.57. For the corners outcome, Leeds is the favorite with odds of 1.70. Considering Leeds' activity in taking corners and regular over 9.5 totals, it makes sense to consider higher corner totals and Leeds' advantage in this component.