Prediction for match Leeds — Manchester City

Match Analysis: Leeds vs Manchester City

In the English Premier League on 28.02.2026, Leeds faces Manchester City. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Manchester City to win is at 1.62, a draw is priced at 4.57, and a Leeds victory is at 5.63. Probability-wise, Leeds has 17.52%, a draw 21.59%, and Manchester City 60.89%. For over 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.68, both teams to score: yes - 1.61, no - 2.20. Manchester City to win on corners is at 1.45. Options for individual totals: Man City over 1.5 goals at 1.57, Leeds over 1 goal at 2.06. First half total options: over 1.0 - 1.55, over 1.5 - 2.43. For the second half, over 1.5 goals is at 1.92.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leeds played as follows: 21.02.2026 Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds, 15.02.2026 Birmingham 3-5 Leeds, 10.02.2026 Chelsea 2-2 Leeds. Manchester City's last three matches were: 21.02.2026 Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle, 14.02.2026 Manchester City 2-0 Salford City, 11.02.2026 Manchester City 3-0 Fulham. Their head-to-head on 29.11.2025 ended with Manchester City 3-2 Leeds. Secondary statistics over five matches: Leeds averages 43.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Manchester City shows 61.4% possession, 2.4 yellows, 11.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Leeds has an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. Manchester City averages 3.0 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.6. For over 2.5 goals: Leeds has 3 out of 5, Manchester City 4 out of 5. By halves: Leeds had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, in the second half 4 out of 5. Manchester City had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Scoring intervals: Leeds most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (43%), Manchester City also between 16-30 (36%). Conceded: Leeds most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (33%), Manchester City between 76-90 (50%). Combined metrics and frequency of over 2.5 goals support betting on over 2.5 goals. Average scores of both teams and over 2.5 goals in 7 out of the last 10 matches make this choice logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Leeds averages 4.4 corners per game, Manchester City 5.0. In five matches, Leeds had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Manchester City 2 times. Odds for corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.91. Based on average figures, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Manchester City is favored on corners at 1.45. On average, the teams combine for around 9.4 corners per match, close to the chosen total. Leeds had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Manchester City consistently maintains over 5 corners per game. Individual corner total options: Man City over 5.0 corners at 1.62, Leeds over 3.5 corners at 1.71.