Prediction for match Leeds — Manchester United, 04.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on January 4th, Leeds will face Manchester United. The odds suggest no clear favorite: Manchester United is at 2.68 to win, Leeds at 2.78, and a draw at 3.53. In terms of probability percentages, Manchester United is rated at 36.72%, Leeds at 35.40%, and a draw at 27.88%. This distribution indicates that bookmakers expect a closely contested match without a clear leader. The odds for over 2.5 total goals are 1.90, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring game. Options for totals and both teams to score are also within a reasonable range for betting, but the main focus is on goals.

Team Results and Statistics

Leeds has shown varied results in their last five matches: a 0-0 draw with Liverpool on January 1st, a 1-1 draw with Sunderland on December 28th, a convincing 4-1 win over Crystal Palace on December 20th, a 1-1 draw with Brentford on December 14th, and a 3-3 draw with Liverpool on December 6th. Manchester United in the same period: a 1-1 draw with Wolverhampton on December 30th, a narrow 1-0 win over Newcastle on December 26th, a 1-2 loss to Aston Villa on December 21st, a high-scoring 4-4 draw with Bournemouth on December 15th, and a solid 4-1 win over Wolverhampton on December 8th. Their last head-to-head was on July 19, 2025, ending 0-0. Additional stats show Leeds averaged 45.8% possession, 9 fouls, 1.2 yellow cards, and 1.6 offsides over five matches. Manchester United averaged 53.4% possession, 9.4 fouls, 1.6 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides. Both teams display disciplined play, with Manchester United having notably higher possession.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Leeds - Manchester United Match

The goal profile for both teams over five matches is quite high. Leeds averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Manchester United averages 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, resulting in an average total of 3 and 3.8 goals per match, respectively. For over 2.5 goals, Leeds has 2 out of 5 matches over, while Manchester United has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Manchester United shows a clear tendency for activity with 4 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Leeds has only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Leeds recorded 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Manchester United 2 out of 5. Goal timing shows Leeds most often scores between 61-75 minutes (33%), while Manchester United scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (33%). Leeds concedes most often in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (50% each), Manchester United in the 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (30% each). Given both teams' high average scoring, regular over 2.5 totals, and timing activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Both teams show identical corner stats: an average of 5.8 corners per match over the last five games. For over 9.5 corners, Leeds has 3 out of 5 matches over, Manchester United 4 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the 9.5 line stands out: over 9.5 corners is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.95. Leeds is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.80. This corner profile for both teams, with consistent flank play, allows for considering bets on higher corner totals, especially given their recent match activity. Individual corner totals could also be interesting, as both teams consistently deliver at least 5 corners per game.