Prediction for match Leeds — Sunderland

Match Preview

The English Premier League features a clash between Leeds and Sunderland, set to take place on March 3, 2026. The odds for the outcome are as follows: a Leeds win is priced at 1.97, a draw at 3.67, and a Sunderland victory at 4.26. Probabilities are distributed as follows: Leeds - 50.02%, draw - 26.85%, Sunderland - 23.13%. Among the totals, the over 2.0 goals market is intriguing with odds of 1.54, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leeds played as follows: on 28.02.2026 Leeds lost to Manchester City 0-1, on 21.02.2026 they drew 1-1 with Aston Villa, and on 15.02.2026 they beat Birmingham 5-3. Sunderland's last three games were: a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth on 28.02.2026, a 1-3 loss to Fulham on 22.02.2026, and a 1-0 win over Oxford United on 15.02.2026. In their last head-to-head on 28.12.2025, Sunderland and Leeds drew 1-1. Additional stats show that over a five-match span, Leeds averages 40.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Sunderland, in the same period, averages 47.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Leeds has an average total goal count of 2.6, while Sunderland's is 2.2. Leeds scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2, whereas Sunderland scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.6. Both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Leeds exceeded 1.5 goals only once, while Sunderland never reached that mark. In the second half, Leeds was more active with 3 out of 5 matches exceeding 1.5 goals, and Sunderland had 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show that Leeds most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (43%) and concedes evenly between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each). Sunderland most often scores in the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minute intervals (40% each) and concedes most frequently between the 61st and 75th minute (33%). Based on this data, a bet on over 2.0 goals seems logical as both teams can create chances, especially in the second half, with Leeds regularly scoring and conceding.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leeds averages 4.6 corners per match, while Sunderland averages 3.8. For the over 9.5 corners market, Leeds had 2 out of 5 matches exceed this total, while Sunderland had 4 out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the 8.5 total is closest to the average sum (8.4): over 8.5 is priced at 1.46, under 8.5 at 2.45. For corner outcomes, Leeds is favored with odds of 1.54. Considering Sunderland's frequency of exceeding and the average figures of both teams, a bet on over 8.5 corners appears justified.