Prediction for match Leganes — AD Ceuta FC

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Segunda match between Leganes and AD Ceuta FC on 21.03.2026, the bookmakers' 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: a victory for Leganes is priced at 1.92, a draw at 3.54, and a win for AD Ceuta FC at 4.16. According to the probability percentages, Leganes has a 49.90% chance of winning, the draw is at 27.07%, and AD Ceuta FC has a 23.03% chance of success. Leganes is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap is not too large, which adds intrigue to the match. Options for totals and both teams to score also have appealing odds, but the main focus from the bookmakers is on Leganes' success.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Leganes has shown the following results: on 14.03.2026 Real Valladolid - Leganes 3-2, on 08.03.2026 Leganes - Eibar 0-1, on 02.03.2026 Sporting Gijon - Leganes 0-0. There were also a draw with Cultural Leonesa 1-1 and a loss to Cordoba 1-2. AD Ceuta FC in the same period played as follows: on 14.03.2026 AD Ceuta FC - Deportivo La Coruna 1-2, on 08.03.2026 Las Palmas - AD Ceuta FC 4-0, on 01.03.2026 Mirandes - AD Ceuta FC 0-1. Additionally, they had victories over Cordoba 3-2 and Granada 2-1. In their head-to-head on 16.11.2025, AD Ceuta FC lost to Leganes 1-2. In secondary statistics, Leganes averaged 60.6% possession over 5 matches, with 2.6 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. AD Ceuta FC showed 49% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 0.6 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Leganes averages 2.2 goals per match over five games, scoring an average of 0.8 and conceding 1.4. AD Ceuta FC has higher figures: 3.2 goals per match on average, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. In the last 5 matches, Leganes had over 2.5 goals twice, under 3 times. AD Ceuta FC had over 2.5 goals 4 times, under once. For halves, Leganes never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and twice in the second half. AD Ceuta FC had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half, and twice in the second half. In terms of time intervals, Leganes most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 40%). AD Ceuta FC scores most frequently in the 0-15 minute range (30%), and concedes most in the 16-30 minute range (33%). Given that Leganes is not highly prolific and AD Ceuta FC plays more openly, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.80 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leganes averages 5 corners per game, AD Ceuta FC - 3.4. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred for both teams 2 out of 5 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.4) is 8.5: the total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.73, under 8.5 at 1.79. Based on corner outcomes, Leganes is favored with odds of 1.61. Given the teams' average activity, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, as both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners, especially Leganes.