Prediction for match Leganes — Albacete

Match Analysis: Leganes vs Albacete

The Copa del Rey clash between Leganes and Albacete is set for December 4th. The 1X2 odds favor Leganes: a win for Leganes is priced at 2.16, a draw at 3.40, and a victory for Albacete at 3.58. The implied probabilities are as follows: 44.67% for Leganes, 28.38% for a draw, and 26.95% for Albacete. The initial odds suggest that Leganes is considered the more likely winner, though a draw cannot be ruled out. Albacete is seen as the least likely to succeed, as reflected in both the odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leganes has an average possession of 51.6%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Albacete averages 39.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and also 1.6 offsides. In their last three outings, Leganes lost to Real Zaragoza 2-3 (November 30), was defeated by Almeria 0-3 (November 22), and beat AD Ceuta 2-1 (November 16). Albacete lost 0-2 to Deportivo La Coruña (November 29), fell 1-2 to Las Palmas (November 21), and won 1-0 against FC Andorra (November 15). In their most recent head-to-head on May 12, 2024, Albacete triumphed 1-0 over Leganes.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Leganes has an average total goals per match of 3.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Albacete averages a total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Leganes has seen over 2.5 goals in all five of their recent games, while Albacete has seen over 2.5 goals in three out of five. Leganes has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 matches and the same in the second half. Albacete has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 matches and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Leganes most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%), while Albacete scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Goals conceded by Leganes are evenly distributed across all intervals (20% each), while Albacete concedes 17% in each of the six intervals. Given Leganes' consistent record of over 2.5 goals and supporting average total statistics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.15 appears logical. Both teams score 1.2 goals per game, supporting the choice for a high-scoring match.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is 5.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Leganes is 1 out of 5, and for Albacete, it's 2 out of 5. The proposed total closest to the combined average (10.4) is 9.5, but there are no odds available for this total. A corner total closer to 10 seems logical, considering the average figures for both teams. Both teams show similar levels of activity from corner kicks, which could lead to a high overall total. Based on corner statistics, an active game at both ends can be expected, but the frequency of over 9.5 corners is not very high, so a cautious approach to betting on corners is justified.