Prediction for match Leganes — Real Sociedad II, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda match between Leganes and Real Sociedad II on January 24, 2026, bookmakers favor Leganes. A win for Leganes is priced at 1.71, a draw at 3.74, and a victory for Real Sociedad II at 5.29. In terms of probability: Leganes - 56.16%, draw - 25.68%, Real Sociedad II - 18.16%. This setup reflects a higher assessment of Leganes's chances for a positive result, which is also supported by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leganes has averaged 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1 goal on average, while maintaining 54.2% possession. Leganes has 2.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Over the same period, Real Sociedad II scores 1.2 goals, concedes 1, has 41.6% possession, receives 4 yellow cards, commits 17.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent Leganes matches: 16.01.2026 Castellon - Leganes 2-0, 11.01.2026 Leganes - Real Valladolid 3-0, 04.01.2026 Albacete - Leganes 1-3. For Real Sociedad II: 17.01.2026 Real Zaragoza - Real Sociedad II 1-1, 10.01.2026 Real Sociedad II - Albacete 0-0, 03.01.2026 Cultural Leonesa - Real Sociedad II 1-1. The last head-to-head was on 08.11.2025: Real Sociedad II - Leganes 2-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Leganes has an average total of 2.4 goals, while Real Sociedad II has 2.2. Leganes scores 1.4, and Real Sociedad II scores 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: both teams have 2 out of 5 games on "over" and 3 on "under". In the first half, Leganes has 2 out of 5 on over 1.5, while Real Sociedad II has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Leganes recorded 2 out of 5 on over 1.5, Real Sociedad II - 4 out of 5. Goal intervals: Leganes often scores between 0-15 (25%), 16-30 (25%), and 76-90 (25%), while Real Sociedad II scores mostly in 76-90 (67%). Leganes concedes more towards the end (76-90, 60%), while Real Sociedad II distributes conceded goals across four intervals (31-45, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90 - 25% each). Overall, both teams show moderate scoring, but Leganes consistently scores slightly more, and Real Sociedad II is more active in the second half. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 seems justified: average goal figures are close to this mark, and over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leganes averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, Real Sociedad II - 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Leganes has 4 out of 5 matches on "over", Real Sociedad II - 1 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.54, under 8.5 at 2.28. On corner outcomes, Leganes is favored with odds of 1.40. In this match, it is logical to expect corner activity, especially from Leganes, who consistently delivers almost 5 corners per game. Also, note the high frequency of over 9.5 corners for Leganes in recent matches.