Prediction for match Legia Warszawa — Gornik Zabrze

Match Analysis: Legia Warsaw vs Górnik Zabrze

In the Ekstraklasa, Legia Warsaw will face Górnik Zabrze on 11.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Legia is the favorite: their victory is priced at 2.04, a draw at 3.34, and a win for Górnik Zabrze at 3.53. The probability distribution is as follows: Legia Warsaw win - 45.69%, draw - 27.91%, Górnik Zabrze win - 26.40%. This suggests a slight advantage for Legia, but Górnik is not a clear underdog. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.92, while under 2.5 goals is at 1.84, indicating expectations of moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Legia Warsaw has shown solid performance in their last five matches: on April 6, they defeated Pogoń Szczecin 2-0, drew 1-1 with Raków on March 22, and also drew 1-1 with Radomiak Radom on March 13. Over these five matches, Legia averages 44.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards per game, 16.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Górnik Zabrze, in their last three matches, beat Cracovia 3-0 on April 4, drew 0-0 with Widzew Łódź on March 22, and confidently defeated Raków 3-1 on March 15. Górnik averages 49.8% possession, 0.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 5, 2025, Górnik Zabrze won 3-1 against Legia Warsaw.

How Many Goals in Legia Warsaw vs Górnik Zabrze Match

In Legia Warsaw's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred once, and under 2.5 goals four times. For Górnik Zabrze, over 2.5 goals happened three times, under twice. In the first halves, both teams recorded over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while in the second halves, Legia had all 5 matches under 1.5 goals, and Górnik had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. Both teams average 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. Legia most frequently scores between the 16-30 minute mark (40%), while Górnik scores late, from 76 to 90 minutes (56%). Legia concedes evenly across three intervals (33% each), while Górnik often concedes at the end of the first and second halves (50% each). Given that both teams average goals per match do not exceed 2.2, and only 1 of Legia's last 5 matches was over, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Legia Warsaw averages 5.6 corners per match, Górnik Zabrze - 3.8. In a series of five games, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, there are two bets: over 9.5 at 1.75, under 9.5 at 1.94. Legia is favored in corners with odds of 1.66. Considering both teams average around 9.4 corners per game, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but an under 9.5 option also holds potential. In recent matches, Legia consistently exceeded 5 corners, while Górnik usually stayed in the 3-4 range. This suggests Legia might be more active in this department.