Prediction for match Leicester — Southampton, 10.02.2026

Leicester vs Southampton Match Analysis

In the English Championship on February 10, Leicester will face Southampton. According to 1X2 odds, Southampton is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.37, Leicester at 2.89, and a draw at 3.34. In terms of probability percentages, Southampton has 39.53%, Leicester 32.42%, and a draw 28.05%. In recent head-to-head encounters, the teams have exchanged victories: on November 25, 2025, Southampton defeated Leicester 3-0, while on May 3, 2025, Leicester won 2-0. The league intrigue remains, and both teams are aiming for a result.

Team Results and Statistics

Leicester has failed to secure a win in their last five matches: they lost 1-2 to Birmingham on February 7, were defeated 0-2 by Charlton Athletic on January 31, lost 1-2 to Oxford United on January 24, drew 1-1 with Wrexham on January 20, and lost 1-2 to Coventry on January 17. Southampton has been more stable in the same period: they beat Watford 1-0 on February 7, overcame Stoke City 2-0 on January 31, drew 1-1 with Portsmouth on January 25, defeated Sheffield United 1-0 on January 21, and lost 1-2 to Hull City on January 17. On average over five matches, Leicester maintains 50.8% ball possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and has 1.2 offsides per game. Southampton slightly better controls the ball at 52.2%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and has 1.8 offsides. The last head-to-head ended with a 3-0 victory for Southampton.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Leicester has an average total goals of 2.6, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Southampton's average total goals is lower at 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding only 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Leicester has 3 out of 5 matches over, while Southampton has only 1 out of 5 over and 4 under. In the first half, Leicester has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Southampton 1 out of 5. In the second half, Leicester has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Southampton 1 out of 5. Leicester most often scores in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes at 29% each. Southampton most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes - 50%. Leicester often concedes early (0-15 minutes - 29%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 29%). Southampton often concedes early in the second half (46-60 minutes - 40%). Given Southampton's low scoring and Leicester's not-so-bright attack, it makes sense to consider under 2.5 goals, which is priced at 1.98.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Leicester earns 4.6 corners per match, Southampton 4.8. In the last five matches, Leicester has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Southampton 3 out of 5 over. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.63, under 9.5 at 2.13. Southampton is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 2.02. Both teams regularly earn 4-5 corners, suggesting activity at the flags, but without a clear bias towards one side. In such a situation, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams' average performance.