Prediction for match Leicester — Stoke City, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Championship match between Leicester and Stoke City on November 22, 2025, bookmakers have priced a Leicester win at odds of 2.07. A draw is offered at 3.25, while a Stoke City victory is at 3.62. According to probability estimates, Leicester has a 45.27% chance of success, a draw stands at 28.84%, and Stoke City is given a 25.89% chance. Leicester is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap isn't too wide, and Stoke City has its reasons to aim for points. Interestingly, in past encounters, both teams have often exchanged high-scoring matches, which could add intrigue to the upcoming game. However, based on the basic odds for the outcome, the match is not expected to be highly prolific in goals, with bookmakers predicting a moderate number of goals.

Team Form and Secondary Statistics

In their last five matches, Leicester has averaged 56.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Stoke City lags slightly in ball control at 53.2% but leads in yellow cards with 2.6, while both teams are equal in fouls (11.4). Stoke City is more active in offsides with 3 per match. Leicester's last three matches were: 08.11.2025 Norwich City - Leicester 1-2, 04.11.2025 Leicester - Middlesbrough 1-1, 01.11.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Leicester 0-2. Stoke City's last three games were: 08.11.2025 Stoke City - Coventry 0-1, 04.11.2025 Oxford United - Stoke City 0-3, 01.11.2025 Stoke City - Bristol City 5-1. In their previous encounter on 03.02.2024, Stoke City lost to Leicester 0-5, with the over 2.5 goals bet coming in.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 games, Leicester had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches, and under in 3. Stoke City had a similar record: 2 overs and 3 unders. By halves: Leicester had a high-scoring first half in 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, and the second half also 1 out of 5. Stoke City had a high-scoring first half 3 times out of 5, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Leicester's average total is 2.2, while Stoke City's is 2.6. In terms of goals scored: Leicester averages 0.8 goals per game, Stoke City 1.8. For goals conceded: 1.4 for Leicester against 0.8 for Stoke City. Leicester most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Stoke City scores between the 16th and 30th minute (43%). Leicester is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minute (50%), and Stoke City in the final 76th to 90th minute (33%). Considering the moderate scoring stats and low frequency of over 2.5 goals for both sides, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corners Statistics

Leicester averages 5.6 corners per game, while Stoke City averages 3.6. In their last five matches, both teams exceeded the over 9.5 corners line twice, with three matches ending under. For corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.93. Leicester is favored to win the corners market with odds of 1.53. Based on average activity and frequency, a bet on around 9-10 corners looks optimal, and backing Leicester to win the corners is supported by both statistics and odds.