Prediction for match Lens — Le Havre, 30.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1, Lens and Le Havre will face off on January 30th. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Lens is priced at 1.45, a draw at 4.97, and a win for Le Havre at 7.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 67.78% for a Lens win, 19.78% for a draw, and 12.44% for a Le Havre win. Lens is the favorite, but the odds for their outright win are below the threshold for the main prediction. To find an optimal bet, it's worth considering the markets for totals and individual performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lens played as follows: 24.01.2026 Marseille - Lens 3-1, 17.01.2026 Lens - Auxerre 1-0, 11.01.2026 Sochaux - Lens 0-3. During the same period, Le Havre played: 24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0-0, 18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1-1, 04.01.2026 Le Havre - Angers 2-1. Over a five-match period, Lens maintains an average possession of 60.8%, commits 1.8 offsides, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and records 16.4 fouls per game. Le Havre, on the other hand, has 50.6% possession, 1.4 offsides, 2 yellow cards, and 12 fouls. In the last head-to-head meeting on 24.08.2025, Le Havre lost to Lens 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Lens shows an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8. For Le Havre, the same metrics are 1.6 goals on average, with 0.6 scored and 1 conceded. Lens has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Le Havre has done so in only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Lens has gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Le Havre in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Lens is consistently productive: over 1.5 in 4 out of 5, while Le Havre is 2 out of 5. Lens most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while Le Havre scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). Lens tends to concede mostly at the end (76-90, 75%), while Le Havre concedes evenly across all intervals. Overall, the statistics suggest that Lens consistently scores, while Le Havre rarely shows high scoring ability. Lens has a clear over-profile in totals, whereas Le Havre has an under-profile. The most logical choice appears to be betting on Lens's individual total over 1.5 at 1.49, but this odds is slightly below the acceptable threshold. The next suitable option is the total over 2.5 at 1.71, supported by frequent overs for Lens and consistent second-half scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Lens and Le Havre each take 5.4 corners per game over a five-match period. Lens has gone over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5, and Le Havre in 3 out of 5. Among the corner markets, the total of 10.5 is closest to the sum of the average indicators, with both outcomes available: over 10.5 is priced at 2.28, under 10.5 at 1.53. A win for Lens in corners is priced at 1.27. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning 5-6 corners, making the bet on over 10.5 quite risky, while under 10.5 seems more reliable. Overall, a moderate number of corners is expected, without a clear bias to either side.