Prediction for match Lens — Monaco, 21.02.2026

Match Analysis: Lens vs Monaco

In Ligue 1 France, Lens will face Monaco on 21.02.2026. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are: Lens win at 1.74, draw at 4.39, and Monaco win at 4.72. In terms of probability: Lens 56.66%, draw 22.46%, Monaco 20.89%. Lens is the favorite based on odds and probability, showcasing strong performances in their recent five-match series. Despite Monaco's status, their chances of winning are significantly lower according to bookmakers' assessments. The match promises to be high-scoring, considering the attacking stats of both teams in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lens achieved the following results: 14.02.2026 Paris FC - Lens 0-5, 07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3-1, 04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2-4. Lens showcased high attacking efficiency in these games. During the same period, Monaco played as follows: 17.02.2026 Monaco - PSG 2-3, 13.02.2026 Monaco - Nantes 3-1, 08.02.2026 Nice - Monaco 0-0. In their last head-to-head encounter on 08.11.2025, Monaco lost to Lens 1-4. Additional statistics show Lens averaging 50.4% possession, receiving 2.4 yellow cards, committing 13.4 fouls, and 3.4 offsides per game over five matches. Monaco averages 44.8% possession, 2.8 yellows, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These figures indicate a fairly equal level of intensity and discipline, although Lens is more frequently caught offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams are known for their scoring ability. Over the last five matches, Lens had over 2.5 goals in 4 games, and Monaco similarly in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Lens matches is 4, and for Monaco, it's 3.4. In terms of goals scored: Lens averages 2.8 goals, Monaco 2, with Lens conceding 1.2 and Monaco 1.4. In the first half, Lens had over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, Monaco 2 out of 5. In the second half, Lens also had 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, Monaco 2 out of 5. Lens often scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), Monaco between 16-30 minutes (33%). Lens most frequently concedes between 46-60 minutes (36%), Monaco between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each). This profile of both teams in terms of totals and halves supports the bet on both teams to score: yes, especially with odds at 1.50. Both teams regularly find the net, and the average goals and over 2.5 totals in 4 out of 5 matches for both sides confirm this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Lens earns 4.6 corners per game, Monaco 4.8, totaling 9.4. In the last 5 matches, Lens had over 9.5 corners once, Monaco twice. Among available totals, 9.5 is closest to their average sum: over 9.5 corners is at 1.88, under 9.5 at 1.82. Lens is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds at 1.50. Expect around 9-10 corners in this match, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the average figures of both teams and their attacking focus in recent matches.