Prediction for match Lens — Nantes

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes will take place on May 8, 2026. The odds for the match outcomes indicate a clear advantage for Lens: a win for Lens is priced at 1.41, a draw at 5.38, and a victory for Nantes at 8.20. In terms of probability percentages, Lens has 69.73%, a draw 18.28%, and Nantes 11.99%. Among the goal totals, the over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.60 appears most intriguing, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring affair. Both teams to score is offered at 1.72, while the opposite is at 2.02. For individual team totals: Lens over 2 goals is at 1.67, and Nantes over 0.5 goals is at 1.58. For first-half totals: over 1 goal is at 1.51, and over 1.5 goals is at 2.28.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Lens has an average possession of 60.8%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Nantes averages 39.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Recent Lens matches: May 2 - Nice 1-1 Lens, April 24 - Brest 3-3 Lens, April 21 - Lens 4-1 Toulouse. Nantes' recent games: May 2 - Nantes 3-0 Marseille, April 26 - Rennes 2-1 Nantes, April 22 - PSG 3-0 Nantes. Their last head-to-head on December 6, 2025, ended with Nantes 1-2 Lens.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Lens vs Nantes

Lens is averaging 4.2 goals per match over their last five games (2.2 scored, 2 conceded), while Nantes averages 2.2 goals (1 scored, 1.2 conceded). For over 2.5 goals: Lens has 4 out of 5 games over, Nantes has 3 out of 5. By halves, Lens has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 first halves and 4 out of 5 second halves, Nantes has 2 out of 5 and 1 out of 5 respectively. Lens most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (21% each), while Nantes scores most often between the 46th-60th minutes (44%). Lens concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (29%) and between the 46th-60th minutes (29%), while Nantes concedes between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each). Given these stats, a bet on over 2.75 goals seems logical: Lens has a pronounced over-profile supported by half-time performances and average scoring, while Nantes has regular goals in attack and a less reliable defense.

Betting on Corners

Lens averages 7.4 corners per match, Nantes 6.4. In their last five games, Lens has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Nantes has 4 out of 5. Among total corners, the line closest to the combined average (13.8) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.87. Lens is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.15. Considering the average figures and frequency of outcomes, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given both teams' activity in this area.