Prediction for match Lens — Strasbourg, 22.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the match between Lens and Strasbourg on November 22, 2025, as part of Ligue 1, the betting odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Lens is priced at 2.10, for Strasbourg at 3.60, and a draw is at 3.84. In percentage terms, the probability of a Lens win is 46.94%, a draw is 25.67%, and a Strasbourg win is 27.38%. Based on these values, Lens is the favorite, but the significant percentage for a draw suggests a potential contest. Both teams show stability in the odds, and the over 2.5 goals market is at 1.72, confirming a trend towards a high-scoring game. The odds for both teams to score are 1.55, indicating high expectations for goals from both sides.

Team Form

In their last five matches, Lens has shown solid form: averaging 2.2 goals per game, 6.2 corners, 2.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.4 offsides with 47.4% possession. Strasbourg's stats are: 1.8 goals, 3 corners, 2.2 yellows, 11.2 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and 55.2% possession. In their last three matches, Lens played as follows: November 8 - Monaco 1-4 Lens, November 2 - Lens 3-0 Lorient, October 29 - Metz 2-0 Lens. For Strasbourg: November 9 - Strasbourg 2-0 Lille, November 6 - Häcken 1-2 Strasbourg, November 2 - Rennes 4-1 Strasbourg. In their head-to-head on February 16, 2025, Lens lost to Strasbourg 0-2, with under 2.5 goals. Previous meetings: October 6, 2024 - Strasbourg 2-2 Lens; February 10, 2024 - Lens 3-1 Strasbourg; September 29, 2023 - Strasbourg 0-1 Lens; April 7, 2023 - Lens 2-1 Strasbourg.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In five matches, Lens had over 2.5 goals in 4 games, with under 2.5 in just 1. For the first half, Lens had over 1.5 in 3 out of 5 games, and the same for the second half. Strasbourg similarly had 4 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, with 2 out of 5 for the first half and 3 out of 5 for the second half over 1.5 goals. The average total for the last five meetings of both teams is 3.2. By intervals: Lens scores most frequently from the 76th to the 90th minute (42%), while Strasbourg scores from the 46th to the 60th minute (38%). Lens's most vulnerable period for conceding is the 16-30 minute mark (43%), while for Strasbourg it's the same interval at 50%. Both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, supported by the average difference in goals scored and conceded. All this makes a bet on over 2.5 goals logical, with odds of 1.72.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, Lens averages 6.2 over 5 matches, while Strasbourg averages 3. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Lens is 3 out of 5, and for Strasbourg, it's 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.12, and under 9.5 is 1.67. Lens is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.50. Based on this data, a bet on Lens's individual total corners over 4.5 at 1.60, and a total over 8.5 at 1.69, seems logical. Lens's tendency to take more corners makes a bet on their advantage in this metric justified.