Prediction for match Leon — Puebla, 09.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Liga MX clash between Leon and Puebla on November 9, 2025, bookmakers have Leon as the favorite. The odds for a Leon victory are 1.90, which corresponds to a 49.83% chance. A draw is priced at 3.80 (24.92%), while Puebla's success is at 3.75 (25.25%). The over/under options are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.73, and under 2.5 at 2.08. For both teams to score: yes is offered at 1.67, no at 2.10. First half outcomes: Leon win - 2.40, draw - 2.30, Puebla win - 4.00. Double chance options: 1.25 for 1X and 1.91 for X2.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Leon has averaged 55% possession, with 2.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Puebla shows 47.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Recent results for Leon include: November 2, Club America - Leon 2-0, October 26, Leon - UNAM Pumas 1-1, October 23, Atlas - Leon 2-0. Puebla's recent games: November 1, Puebla - Cruz Azul 0-3, October 25, Juarez - Puebla 4-4, October 22, Club America - Puebla 2-1. In their last head-to-head on April 12, 2025, Leon beat Puebla 1-0 (under 2.5 hit). Previously, on July 17, 2024, they drew 2-2, and on March 17, 2024, Leon won 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Leon's average goals per game is 2.8, while Puebla's is significantly higher at 5. Leon scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 2.2, whereas Puebla averages 2 goals scored and 3 conceded per match. For over/under: Leon has 1 out of 5 over 2.5, while Puebla has 5 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 1 out of 5 times for both teams, but in the second half, Leon had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Puebla 5 out of 5. Leon most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Puebla scores most often between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Leon concedes most frequently between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Puebla concedes most often between 46-60 (33%). Given these stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems logical: Puebla's high scoring, consistent over 2.5 hits, and frequent second-half goals support this choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

Leon averages 6 corners, and Puebla 5.4 per match. Over their last 5 games, the over 9.5 corners hit 3 times for each team. For this match, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.73, and under 9.5 at 2.00. Leon to win the corner count is at 1.57, Puebla at 2.75. There's also over 10 corners at 2.00 and under 10 at 1.80. Individual corner totals: Leon - over 5.5 at 1.91, under at 1.80; Puebla - over 4.5 at 2.20, under at 1.62. Both teams' corner stats indicate frequent over 9.5 and 10 totals, making a bet on over 9.5 corners look justified.