Prediction for match Leon — Santos Laguna

Match Analysis: Leon vs Santos Laguna

In Liga MX on February 22, Leon will face Santos Laguna. According to the 1X2 odds, Leon is the favorite: a win for Leon is priced at 1.63, a draw at 4.15, and a victory for Santos Laguna at 4.56. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 57.14% for Leon's success, 22.44% for a draw, and 20.42% for Santos Laguna's win. The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, which confirms expectations of an attacking game from both sides. In recent head-to-head encounters, both teams have regularly found the net, supporting the bet on BTTS: Yes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leon has averaged 52.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. During the same period, Santos Laguna has shown 39% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Leon lost to Monterrey 0-1 (15.02.2026), lost to Querétaro 0-2 (07.02.2026), and lost at home to Tigres UANL 1-2 (01.02.2026). Santos Laguna lost to Mazatlán 1-2 (15.02.2026), were thrashed by Tigres UANL 1-5 (07.02.2026), and suffered a heavy defeat to UNAM Pumas 0-4 (31.01.2026). Their last head-to-head match was on 18.10.2025: Santos Laguna - Leon 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last 5 games, Leon has seen over 2.5 goals twice, with three games going under. Santos Laguna has had all five matches end with over 2.5 goals, indicating high scoring from their side. On average, Leon scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.6, while Santos Laguna scores 1 and concedes 3.2. Leon's overall average total is 2.2, and Santos Laguna's is 4.2. By halves, only one of Leon's matches out of five went over 1.5 in the first half, and two in the second. For Santos Laguna, three out of five went over 1.5 in each half. By intervals, Leon most frequently scores between the 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while Santos Laguna scores at the end of the first half and the beginning of the second (31-45 and 46-60, 25% each). Leon most frequently concedes between 46-60 minutes (50%), and Santos Laguna at the end of the first and the beginning of the second half (33% each). This statistics supports the bet on both teams to score: both teams have at least one scoring period, and Santos Laguna's defense appears vulnerable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leon averages 5.4 corners per match, while Santos Laguna averages 3.4. Over the last five games, Leon has surpassed the 9.5 corners total three times, while Santos Laguna only once. The corner totals market closest to the sum of their averages is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.11. Leon is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.42. It's logical to consider the over 9.5 corners option, given Leon's consistent corner-taking and Santos Laguna's potential to increase attacking activity, considering their frequent goals conceded.