Prediction for match Leon — Tigres UANL

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

In Liga MX on February 1, Leon will face Tigres UANL. The odds for a Tigres UANL victory are 2.11, for Leon 3.29, and for a draw 3.38. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Leon - 28.31%, draw - 27.55%, Tigres UANL - 44.14%. Tigres UANL is favored according to the odds, but Leon is not far behind, promising an intriguing clash. For total goals: over 2.5 is at 1.83, under 2.5 at 1.92. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.67, no at 2.08. Individual totals: Leon over 1 is at 1.80, Tigres UANL over 1.5 at 2.03. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.67, X2 at 1.30, 12 at 1.28.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leon played as follows: 18.01.2026 UNAM Pumas - Leon 1-1, 14.01.2026 Pachuca - Leon 2-1, 11.01.2026 Leon - Cruz Azul 2-1. Tigres UANL in their last three: 15.01.2026 Tigres UANL - UNAM Pumas 0-1, 12.01.2026 Atletico San Luis - Tigres UANL 1-2, 15.12.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 11-9. Over a five-match series, Leon has 50.8% ball possession, Tigres UANL 49.2%. Leon averages 1.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game, while Tigres UANL averages 2 yellows, 15 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. The last head-to-head was on 14.09.2025: Tigres UANL - Leon 0-0.

Goal Scoring Trends

In their last 5 matches, Leon has gone over 2.5 goals three times, and under twice. Tigres UANL has gone over 2.5 twice and under three times. Leon averages 2.6 goals per match, Tigres UANL 2. Leon scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6, while Tigres UANL also scores 1 but concedes less at 1. In the second half, Leon went over 1.5 goals three times, Tigres UANL twice. In the first half, both teams only went over 1.5 goals once each. Leon often scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), while Tigres UANL scores most frequently in the 46-60 minute interval (40%). Leon concedes most in the early (0-15 minutes, 40%) and late stages (76-90 minutes, 40%), while Tigres UANL concedes most often in the late stages (76-90 minutes, 33%). Both teams are not highly prolific scorers but tend not to lean towards a total under. In this scenario, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.83 seems justified: Leon has gone over in three out of five, Tigres UANL in two, with decent average goals and second-half movement.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Leon averages 4.2 corners over the last five games, while Tigres UANL averages 8.2. Both teams have gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. The combined average is 12.4, above the 9.5 line. For the 9.5 total, the odds are: over 9.5 at 1.72, under 9.5 at 2.00. Tigres UANL is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.87. Based on the stats, considering over 9.5 corners is logical, given the high averages and frequency of overs in the series.