Prediction for match Leon — UNAM Pumas, 26.10.2025

Match Analysis: Leon vs UNAM Pumas

On October 26, 2025, Leon will face UNAM Pumas in Liga MX. According to the 1X2 odds, bookmakers see no clear favorite: both Leon and UNAM Pumas have odds of 2.62 to win, while a draw is at 3.40. The probabilities are almost evenly split: 36.09% for a Leon victory, 36.09% for a UNAM Pumas win, and a draw is rated at 27.81%. This parity in odds and probabilities indicates a high level of uncertainty in the outcome.

Recent Form

Both teams have been unimpressive in their last five matches: Leon averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game, while UNAM Pumas also averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The average total goals in matches are 3.2 for Leon and 3 for UNAM Pumas. During this period, Leon had two high-scoring games (2-4 against Toluca, 2-2 against Mazatlan) but failed to score in three matches (0-2 against Atlas, 0-2 against Santos Laguna, 0-2 against Juarez). UNAM Pumas have also been inconsistent: losses of 1-3 to Juarez and 1-4 to Club America, a 1-1 draw with Monterrey, a 1-2 loss to Guadalajara, and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Atletico San Luis. In head-to-head encounters, high-scoring games have been common: 1-2, 4-1, 1-0, 1-1, 4-1 – only one of the last five meetings ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.

Goals Expectation

Regarding matches with over 2.5 goals, Leon has gone over twice in their last five matches, while UNAM Pumas has done so three times. The average goals per game for both teams are 3.2 and 3 respectively. In the first half, both teams frequently stay under 1.5 goals (Leon: 2 over, 3 under; UNAM Pumas: 1 over, 4 under), while in the second half, Leon has 2 over and 3 under, and UNAM Pumas has 3 over and 2 under. Leon most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), while UNAM Pumas scores in two periods: 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Leon concedes most frequently between the 46th and 75th minutes (33% in each interval), and UNAM Pumas concedes distributedly: 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 76th-90th minutes (33% each).

Corners in the Match

On average, Leon earns 6.6 corners per game, while UNAM Pumas earns 4.2. In their last five matches, Leon exceeded the 9.5 corners total twice, staying under three times; UNAM Pumas has the same record – 2 over, 3 under. The total corners for the match are set at over 9.5 for 2.00, under 9.5 for 1.73. Leon is slightly favored to win the corner count, with odds at 1.95.