Prediction for match Libertad Asuncion — Rosario Central

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Copa Libertadores on 15.04.2026, Libertad Asuncion will face Rosario Central. According to the probability distribution for the outcome: Libertad Asuncion has a 30.52% chance of winning, a draw is at 30.52%, and Rosario Central has a 38.96% chance of winning. The odds for the main outcomes are: Libertad Asuncion to win at 3.14, a draw at 3.14, and Rosario Central to win at 2.46. Based on these figures, Rosario Central appears slightly favored, but the gap isn't significant. The identical odds for a draw and a win for Libertad Asuncion reflect a moderately tight distribution of strength.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Libertad Asuncion had an average ball possession of 58.6%, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 10.6 fouls, and had 0.2 offsides per game. For Rosario Central, the stats are: 64.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Recent matches for Libertad Asuncion: 12.04.2026 - Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense - 1-1; 09.04.2026 - Universidad Central vs Libertad Asuncion - 3-1; 05.04.2026 - Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion - 1-0. For Rosario Central: 12.04.2026 - Huracan vs Rosario Central - 3-1; 09.04.2026 - Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle - 0-0; 05.04.2026 - Rosario Central vs Atletico Tucuman - 2-1. In their head-to-head on 08.05.2019, Rosario Central defeated Libertad Asuncion 2-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In terms of goal activity, Libertad Asuncion's last five matches had an average total of 2.0, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Rosario Central had an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Libertad Asuncion had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Rosario Central had 3 out of 5. By halves: Libertad Asuncion had no matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Rosario Central had 3 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, and 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals: Libertad Asuncion most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (100%). Rosario Central most frequently scores late as well (76-90 - 30%) and concedes mainly at the end of the first half (31-45 - 67%). Considering both teams have an average total not exceeding 2.4 and Libertad Asuncion's low scoring rate, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Libertad Asuncion averages 4 corners per match, while Rosario Central averages 5.2. Regarding over 9.5 corners: Libertad Asuncion had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Rosario Central had 3 out of 5. For the total corners of 9.5, there are both options: over 9.5 at odds of 2.05, under 9.5 at 1.75. Based on these figures, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems more reasonable, considering both teams' average figures. Overall, neither team stands out for corner activity, with only Rosario Central occasionally exceeding the 9.5 mark.