Prediction for match Lille — Nantes

Match Analysis: Lille vs Nantes

In Ligue 1 on March 1st, Lille faces Nantes. The 1X2 odds are: Lille win at 1.51, draw at 4.62, Nantes win at 7.21. Based on probabilities of 65.09% for Lille, 21.27% for a draw, and 13.63% for Nantes, Lille is considered the favorite. Bookmakers see Lille's success as the most likely outcome, but a draw is also possible given the odds and percentages. It's interesting to note the significant difference in the teams' chances, reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lille played as follows: 26.02.2026 - Crvena Zvezda vs Lille - 0-2, 22.02.2026 - Angers vs Lille - 0-1, 19.02.2026 - Lille vs Crvena Zvezda - 0-1. Nantes' last three games: 22.02.2026 - Nantes vs Le Havre - 2-0, 13.02.2026 - Monaco vs Nantes - 3-1, 07.02.2026 - Nantes vs Lyon - 0-1. Their head-to-head match on 19.10.2025 ended with Nantes vs Lille - 0-2. Over a five-match span, Lille averages 55.8% ball possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Nantes averages 47% possession, 3.4 yellows, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. This indicates Lille's more disciplined and controlling style of play, while Nantes tends to commit more fouls and receive more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Lille's average total goals per game is 1.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.4 per match. Nantes has an average total of 3, scoring 1 and conceding 2. For over 2.5 goals: Lille had 0 out of 5, Nantes had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Lille had 0 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, Nantes had 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. Goal intervals: Lille most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (100%) and concedes between 31-45 (50%). Nantes scores most often from 16 to 45 minutes (38% in each interval) and concedes from 16 to 30 minutes (43%). Despite Nantes' higher scoring matches, Lille has been very reliable in defense recently and isn't prone to high-scoring games. Neither team shows a strong over-profile in the second half, and Lille doesn't exceed 2.5 goals. This makes the under 2.5 goals bet at 2.11 the most logical based on current trends.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lille averages 8 corners per match, Nantes 4.2. In their last five matches, Lille had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 total corners, Nantes had 2 out of 5. The corner totals line closest to the average sum (12.2) is 11.5: over 11.5 is at 2.80, under 11.5 at 1.38. Lille is the favorite in corner outcomes at 1.17. Considering Lille's high activity in delivering corners and frequent overs for 9.5, betting on over 11.5 corners seems justified for riskier options. Also, consider Lille's individual corner total over 6.5, which is often achieved according to their stats. Overall, a significant number of corners is expected, especially from Lille.