Prediction for match Lille — PAOK, 23.10.2025

Match Analysis: Lille vs PAOK

Lille and PAOK will face off on October 23, 2025, in the UEFA Europa League. Lille is favored with odds of 1.57 to win, a draw is priced at 4.10, and a PAOK victory is at 5.75. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Lille - 60.39%, draw - 23.12%, PAOK - 16.49%. Lille is the favorite according to both the odds and the percentages, having a clear advantage over their opponent.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Lille has averaged: 1.2 goals scored, 0.6 goals conceded, 1.8 total goals per match, 5.8 corners, 2.8 yellow cards, and 13.2 fouls. In the same period, PAOK averages 1.6 goals per game, 1.4 conceded, and 3 total goals, with 3.6 corners, 2.4 cards, and 13.2 fouls. Recent matches include: Lille defeated Nantes 2-0 (19.10.2025), drew 1-1 with PSG (05.10.2025), and beat Roma 1-0 (02.10.2025). PAOK overcame AEK Athens 2-0 (19.10.2025), beat Olympiacos 2-1 (05.10.2025), lost to Celta 1-3 (02.10.2025), and drew 3-3 with Asteras (28.09.2025). Overall, both teams are picking up points, but Lille is noticeably more reliable in defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over five matches, Lille has played over 2.5 goals just once, with four matches finishing under 2.5 goals. PAOK, on the other hand, has gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. On average, Lille scores 1.2 and concedes 0.6, while PAOK scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4, reflecting a more open style of play from the Greek side. By halves: Lille has not surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half in any game, but has done so twice in the second half; PAOK has gone over 1.5 goals twice in each half. Looking at goal intervals, Lille often scores late (76-90 minutes, 75%), while PAOK tends to score between 61-75 minutes (50%). Lille most frequently concedes in the first 15 minutes (50%), while PAOK concedes between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (43% each).

Corners in the Match

In terms of corners, Lille averages 5.8 over the last five games, while PAOK averages 3.6. The frequency of matches going over 9.5 corners: Lille twice out of five, PAOK once out of five. Odds for total corners: over 8.5 is priced at 1.73, under 8.5 at 2.00. Lille is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.40.