Prediction for match Lille — Brest, 14.02.2026

Match Analysis: Lille vs Brest

In Ligue 1 on 14.02.2026, Lille will face Brest. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Lille win is at 1.80, a draw at 4.04, and a Brest win at 4.72. In terms of probability, Lille is given a 54.74% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.39%, and Brest at 20.87%. These figures highlight Lille as the favorite, though the margin isn't huge, adding intrigue to the goal total bets. Among the goal totals, under 2.5 at 1.99 looks particularly appealing, supported by the recent games' statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lille has averaged 60.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Brest, over the same period, has 43.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Lille's last three matches ended as follows: 06.02.2026 Metz vs Lille 0-0, 01.02.2026 Lyon vs Lille 1-0, 29.01.2026 Lille vs Freiburg 1-0. Brest's last three games were: 07.02.2026 Brest vs Lorient 2-0, 01.02.2026 Nice vs Brest 2-2, 25.01.2026 Brest vs Toulouse 0-2. The last head-to-head between these teams was on 17.08.2025, ending Brest vs Lille 3-3.

Goal Totals Statistics

Over the last five matches, Lille's average total goals per game is 2.0, while Brest's is 2.6. Lille scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.4, while Brest scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. Lille has only surpassed 1.5 goals in the first half once in five matches, while Brest has done so three times. In the second half, both teams have surpassed 1.5 goals twice in five matches. Lille most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (40%), while Brest scores most often between the 31st and 45th minute (38%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding goals between the 16th and 30th minute (40%). Given Lille's low attacking output and Brest's moderate goal profile, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lille averages 7.2 corners in their last five matches, while Brest averages 4.4. Lille has seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, while Brest has done so in 3 out of 5. Among the available corner lines, over 8.5 at 1.51 and under 8.5 at 2.32 are close to the average figures for both teams. Lille is favored for corners at 1.30. Considering Lille's average activity in corner kicks and Brest's moderate contribution, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, though a moderate number of corners is also possible.