Prediction for match Lincoln Red Imps FC — HNK Rijeka

Match Analysis: Lincoln Red Imps vs HNK Rijeka

On November 6th, in the UEFA Conference League, Lincoln Red Imps will face HNK Rijeka. Bookmakers have pegged Rijeka as the clear favorite: odds for their victory are 1.44, a draw is at 4.20, and a win for Lincoln Red Imps stands at 7.50. The probability percentages are as follows: Lincoln Red Imps win - 12.51%, draw - 22.34%, Rijeka win - 65.15%. This setup highlights the substantial advantage of the Croatian team going into the match.

Team Form

Looking at the last five matches, Lincoln Red Imps have an average possession of 32.75%, receive 2.25 yellow cards, commit 12 fouls, and are caught offside 1.5 times per game. Rijeka, on the other hand, have higher possession at 48.6%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, Lincoln Red Imps: 23.10 - Lincoln Red Imps vs Lech Poznan 2-1, 02.10 - Zrinjski vs Lincoln Red Imps 5-0, 28.08 - Braga vs Lincoln Red Imps 5-1. For Rijeka: 01.11 - Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka 2-1, 27.10 - Rijeka vs Osijek 4-2, 24.10 - Rijeka vs Sparta Prague 1-0. There are no previous head-to-head matches between these teams on record.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Lincoln Red Imps have an average of 0.75 goals scored and 3.75 conceded, with a total of 4.5 goals per match. Rijeka scores 2 goals on average, concedes 1.2, with an overall average of 3.2 goals per game. Lincoln Red Imps have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches, while Rijeka has seen it in three. By halves, Lincoln Red Imps have had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and in the second half 4 times; Rijeka has had it 1 and 3 times respectively. Lincoln Red Imps most frequently score between the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concede heavily in the last 15 minutes (67%). Rijeka scores more often in the second half: intervals of 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), and concede most in the 61-75 minute range (29%). Given the high average totals and frequency of over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80) seems a reasonable choice.

Corners in the Match

Regarding corners, Lincoln Red Imps average 2.75 over the last five matches, while Rijeka averages 5.2. The frequency of matches with over 9.5 corners is 1 in 5 for Lincoln Red Imps and 4 in 5 for Rijeka. The line for the match is set at over 8.5 corners with odds of 1.83, the same as under 8.5. Based on the statistics, Rijeka's strong corner figures make a bet on over 8.5 corners justified.