Prediction for match Liverpool — Chelsea

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League on May 9th, Liverpool will face Chelsea. The odds for a Liverpool win are set at 1.93, a draw at 4.11, and a Chelsea win at 3.94. In terms of probability, Liverpool is rated at 51.04%, a draw at 23.97%, and Chelsea at 25.00%. The 1X2 market highlights Liverpool as the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match. Among the totals, the lines closest to the average scoring are over 3.0 at 1.60 and under 3.0 at 2.22. The option for both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.40, while no is at 2.77. For individual team totals, Liverpool over 1.5 goals is at 1.56, and Chelsea over 1.5 goals is at 2.27. Options for totals in the first and second halves are also available, but the most balanced seems to be over 3.0 at 1.60.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Liverpool has averaged 55.8% possession, received 1 yellow card per game, committed 10.4 fouls, and recorded 2.2 offsides per match. Chelsea, in the same period, has averaged 52.4% possession, received 1.8 yellow cards, committed 10 fouls, and recorded 3 offsides per match. Liverpool's last three matches were: 03.05.2026 - Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool, 25.04.2026 - Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace, 19.04.2026 - Everton 1-2 Liverpool. Chelsea's last three matches were: 04.05.2026 - Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest, 26.04.2026 - Chelsea 1-0 Leeds, 21.04.2026 - Brighton 3-0 Chelsea. The last meeting between the teams was on 04.10.2025 - Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Liverpool vs Chelsea Match

In their last five matches, Liverpool has gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Chelsea has also gone over 2.5 goals three times. By halves, Liverpool has had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five and four times in the second half. Chelsea has had over 1.5 goals in the first half just once out of five, but three times in the second half. The average goals per match for Liverpool is 3.2, and for Chelsea, it's 2.4. Liverpool scores an average of 1.8 goals, while Chelsea scores 0.4, with both conceding 1.4 and 2 goals respectively. Liverpool most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (44%), while Chelsea scores late, between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%). For goals conceded, Liverpool has three equal intervals: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes at 29% each, while Chelsea concedes most between 46-60 minutes (43%). Considering Liverpool's over-profile on totals, regular over 2.5 goals for both teams, and high average scoring with second-half activity, a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.60 seems justified.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Liverpool averages 5.2 corners per game, while Chelsea averages 6.2. In the last five matches, Liverpool has had over 9.5 corners three times, and Chelsea four times. The total corners line closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11.5, with over 11.5 priced at 2.47 and under 11.5 at 1.48. In the corners market, Liverpool is favored with odds of 1.63. An abundance of set-pieces can be expected, and a bet on over 11.5 corners seems logical given the activity of both teams.