Prediction for match Liverpool — Crystal Palace

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

In the League Cup clash between Liverpool and Crystal Palace on October 29, bookmakers clearly favor Liverpool, offering odds of 1.57 for their victory, which implies a 59.54% chance of success. A draw is priced at 4.75 (19.68%), while a win for Crystal Palace is at 4.50 (20.77%). This setup highlights a significant disparity in the teams' chances in the 1X2 market, with Liverpool standing out as the main contender to advance to the next round. Other outcomes are rated significantly lower, as reflected in the probability percentages.

Recent Match Performance

Over their last five games, Liverpool has averaged 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match, with the total number of goals in their games reaching 3.6 per game. Recently, Liverpool lost to Brentford 2-3 on October 25, and defeated Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 on October 22. Crystal Palace, during the same period, averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, totaling 2.6 goals per game. In their last match, they lost 0-1 to Arsenal, following a thrilling 3-3 draw with Bournemouth. In head-to-head encounters, the teams have exchanged victories: Crystal Palace won 2-1 on September 27, and they drew 2-2 on August 10. The last five meetings have seen draws and narrow wins for both sides, indicating a noticeable parity in their duels.

Expected Goals

In the last five games, Liverpool has had over 2.5 goals in four matches, while Crystal Palace has seen this twice. The average goals per game are 3.6 for Liverpool and 2.6 for Crystal Palace. By halves, Liverpool has seen over 1.5 goals in the second half in four of five matches, while Crystal Palace has done this twice. Liverpool most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while Crystal Palace is more prolific at the end of the game (76-90, 50%). Both teams are most vulnerable defensively at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes: 40% for Liverpool, 43% for Crystal Palace). Therefore, a high-scoring match is likely, especially after halftime.

Corners Statistics

Liverpool averages 6.4 corners per match, while Crystal Palace averages 5.2. Over the last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred three times for Liverpool and twice for Crystal Palace. The odds for total corners are: over 10.5 at 2.10, under 10.5 at 1.67. Liverpool is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.33.