Prediction for match Liverpool — Leeds, 01.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League on January 1st, Liverpool will face Leeds. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Liverpool to win is priced at 1.59, a draw is at 4.53, and a win for Leeds is at 6.10. The probabilities are: Liverpool 62.05%, draw 21.78%, Leeds 16.17%. For over 2.5 total goals, the odds are 1.69, both teams to score is 1.70, and 'no' on both teams to score is 2.05. Among individual totals, Liverpool's over 1.5 is at 1.55, while Leeds' over 0.5 is at 1.51. Options for second-half totals and double chance are also presented with odds over 1.5.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 games, Liverpool has an average possession of 57.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 8 fouls, and has 2.4 offsides per match. Leeds, over 5 games, has 45.4% possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 9.4 fouls, and has 2 offsides. In Liverpool's last three matches: 27.12 - Liverpool 2-1 Wolverhampton, 20.12 - Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool, 13.12 - Liverpool 2-0 Brighton. For Leeds: 28.12 - Sunderland 1-1 Leeds, 20.12 - Leeds 4-1 Crystal Palace, 14.12 - Brentford 1-1 Leeds. Their last head-to-head was on December 6: Leeds 3-3 Liverpool.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average, Liverpool scores 3 goals per match over 5 games, while Leeds scores 3.8. Liverpool averages 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, Leeds averages 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. In a series of five matches, over 2.5 total goals was achieved by both teams 3 times out of 5. By halves, Liverpool had over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and in the second half twice. Leeds had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and in the second half 4 times out of 5. Liverpool scores most frequently between the 31st-45th (25%), 61st-75th (25%), and 76th-90th (25%) minutes, while Leeds scores most often between the 61st-75th minute (33%). Both teams often concede between the 46th-60th minutes: 57% each. Overall, both teams show an over-profile in goals, especially Leeds in the second half, supporting a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.69.

Corner Bets

Liverpool averages 4.2 corners per game, while Leeds averages 6. Over a series of five matches, over 9.5 corners was achieved by Liverpool once, and by Leeds twice. Among the presented totals for corners, the closest to the average sum (10.2) is the total of 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.16, under 10.5 is at 1.65. In the corners outcome, Liverpool is favored with odds of 1.32. Based on recent match dynamics, Leeds consistently delivers more than 5 corners, while Liverpool often stays within the 4-5 range. It makes sense to consider a total corner count closer to 10-11, as well as Liverpool's advantage in the number of corners.

Sportwars.net Prediction for Liverpool vs Leeds, 2026-01-01 - Over 2.5 total goals, odds 1.69. Exact score: 2-1, odds 7.50.