Prediction for match Liverpool — PSV Eindhoven

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven

On November 26, in the UEFA Champions League, Liverpool hosts PSV Eindhoven. The odds for the English club to win are 1.35, for a draw - 5.94, and for PSV's success - 9.30. Probabilities: Liverpool - 72.86%, draw - 16.56%, PSV - 10.58%. Both teams to score is priced at 1.57, which is appealing considering the scoring capabilities of both sides. In their last head-to-head on January 29, 2025, PSV defeated Liverpool 3-2, with the total over 2.5 goals being surpassed. This adds interest to the attacking actions of both teams ahead of the new match.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Liverpool shows 55.6% possession, records 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and 3.6 offsides per game. PSV averages 56.2% possession, receives 0.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Liverpool's last three matches: November 22 - Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 0-3, November 9 - Manchester City vs Liverpool 3-0, November 4 - Liverpool vs Real Madrid 1-0. PSV: November 22 - NAC Breda vs PSV 0-1, November 9 - AZ Alkmaar vs PSV 1-5, November 4 - Olympiacos vs PSV 1-1. In the head-to-head on January 29, PSV vs Liverpool ended 3-2, with the total over 2.5 being surpassed.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times. Liverpool averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while PSV scores 3 and concedes 1.2. By halves, Liverpool surpassed over 1.5 goals twice in the first half, once in the second; PSV did it twice in the first, three times in the second. Liverpool most frequently scores in the 31-45 (29%) and 61-75 (29%) minute intervals, PSV in the 16-30 (33%) range. In terms of goals conceded: Liverpool concedes 50% of goals between the 31-45 minutes, PSV 25% in the 76-90. With such a spread of scoring stats and PSV's high average scoring, the both teams to score bet at 1.57 looks justified. Additionally, both teams have regularly played over 2.5 goals in recent matches, strengthening the argument for this choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over 5 matches, Liverpool averages 4.6 corners, PSV - 5.8. The total corners over 9.5 occurred three times for PSV, twice for Liverpool. Odds: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.61, under - 2.23. The corner outcome is more often in favor of Liverpool - 1.25. Also, PSV recorded the total over 9.5 corners three times in five matches, indicating frequent attacks and activity on the flanks. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this matchup.