Prediction for match Liverpool — Real Madrid, 04.11.2025

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Real Madrid

The UEFA Champions League clash between Liverpool and Real Madrid promises to be the highlight of the day. The odds for a Liverpool win are 2.50, for Real Madrid 2.55, and for a draw 3.75. The probability distribution is extremely close: Liverpool - 37.78%, Real Madrid - 37.04%, draw - 25.19%. The balance of power is reflected in the odds, highlighting the match as one of the most anticipated. In such a scenario, even the smallest details can play a decisive role.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Liverpool has an average possession of 61.4%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and records 2.6 offsides per game. Real Madrid's stats are similar: 61.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Liverpool played as follows: 01.11.2025 - Liverpool vs Aston Villa 2-0, 29.10.2025 - Liverpool vs Crystal Palace 0-3, 25.10.2025 - Brentford vs Liverpool 3-2. Real Madrid: 01.11.2025 - Real Madrid vs Valencia 4-0, 26.10.2025 - Real Madrid vs Barcelona 2-1, 22.10.2025 - Real Madrid vs Juventus 1-0. In their last head-to-head encounter on 27.11.2024, Liverpool defeated Real Madrid 2-0, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved. Other head-to-head matches include: 15.03.2023 Real Madrid vs Liverpool 1-0, 21.02.2023 Liverpool vs Real Madrid 2-5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In five matches, Liverpool surpassed the total over 2.5 goals four times, Real Madrid did so three times. By halves, Liverpool had at least two goals in both halves in three out of five games, while Real Madrid had two in the first half twice and once in the second. Average figures: Liverpool - 3.8 goals per match, Real Madrid - 2.6. Liverpool scores 2.0, concedes 1.8, Real Madrid scores 2.2, concedes 0.4. The most frequent goal intervals for Liverpool are 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), for Real Madrid it's 31-45 minutes (33%). Liverpool concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%), while Real Madrid's conceded goals are spread across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Both teams have a strong attacking potential and regularly score, with Real Madrid's defense being more reliable. However, in head-to-head meetings, the total over 2.5 goals occurred three out of five times. Considering the presented data, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Liverpool averages 5.4 corners per match, Real Madrid - 8. The frequency of the total over 9.5 corners in the last five matches is two out of five for both teams. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.90, and the same for under 10.5. In the corner matchup, Liverpool is favored with odds of 1.67, while Real Madrid is at 2.60. Based on the presented data, attention can be given to the over total, considering the high average of corners, especially from Real Madrid. The frequency of the total over 9.5 is not high, but the teams' averages leave room for the upper limit to be exceeded.