Prediction for match Liverpool — Sunderland, 03.12.2025

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Sunderland

On December 3, in the Premier League, Liverpool will face Sunderland. According to the 1X2 odds, Liverpool is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.38, a draw at 5.43, and a Sunderland win at 9.25. In terms of probability, Liverpool has a 71.26% chance of winning, a draw is at 18.11%, and Sunderland has a 10.63% chance. This setup reflects confidence in Liverpool's strength, but the recent performances of both teams add interesting nuances to the upcoming game.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Liverpool has an average possession of 56.8%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Sunderland, in the same period, has an average possession of 43%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and also records 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Liverpool played as follows: November 30 - West Ham vs Liverpool 0-2, November 26 - Liverpool vs PSV 1-4, November 22 - Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest 0-3. Sunderland's recent results are: November 29 - Sunderland vs Bournemouth 3-2, November 22 - Fulham vs Sunderland 1-0, November 8 - Sunderland vs Arsenal 2-2. Looking at their head-to-head history, the last game was on January 2, 2017: Sunderland vs Liverpool 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games: Liverpool had over 2.5 goals in three of their last five games, and Sunderland also had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5. Liverpool's average goals per game is 2.8, while Sunderland's is exactly 3. On average, Liverpool scores 0.8 and concedes 2 goals per game, while Sunderland scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. In terms of halves, Liverpool had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 out of 5 games, and in the first half in 2 out of 5. Sunderland had the same: over 1.5 in the second half in 2 out of 5 games and in the first half in 2 out of 5. Liverpool often scores between the 16-30 and 61-75 minute marks (33% each), and concedes between 46-60 and 76-90 (33% each). Sunderland is most prolific between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes most often at the start - 43% of goals in the 0-15 minute interval. Altogether, these data suggest a match profile with a high likelihood of three or more goals, which is confirmed by the over 2.5 goals in both teams' recent games and their average totals over 5 games. Against this backdrop, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.63 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Liverpool averages 6.4 corners per match, Sunderland 3.4. In five games, Liverpool had over 9.5 corners three times, Sunderland twice. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (9.8) is the over 9.5 total: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.57, under 9.5 at 2.19. Liverpool is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.15. Given the averages and frequencies, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 corners option, as well as Liverpool's advantage in corner counts.