Prediction for match Livingston — Aberdeen

Match Analysis: Livingston vs Aberdeen

In the Scottish Premiership on May 1, 2026, Livingston will face Aberdeen. According to the odds, bookmakers slightly favor Aberdeen: their win is priced at 2.41, Livingston at 2.94, and a draw at 3.20. The probabilities for 1X2 are distributed as follows: Livingston - 31.86%, Draw - 29.27%, Aberdeen - 38.87%. Aberdeen is considered the more likely winner, but the gap between the teams isn't large. The options for total goals and both teams to score are also closely contested, indicating the potential for an exciting match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Livingston played as follows: on 25.04.2026, they defeated St. Mirren 2-0, on 11.04.2026, they lost to Dundee United 3-2, and on 05.04.2026, they drew with Hearts 2-2. During the same period, Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock 1-0 on 25.04.2026, defeated Hibernian 2-0 on 11.04.2026, and lost to St. Mirren 0-2 on 04.04.2026. On average over five games, Livingston has 41% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. Aberdeen averages 42% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on 24.01.2026, Aberdeen thrashed Livingston 6-2.

How Many Goals in Livingston vs Aberdeen Match

Over a series of five matches, Livingston's average total goals per game is 2.6, while Aberdeen's is 2.4. Livingston scores an average of 1.2, and Aberdeen 1, with both conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Livingston has 2 out of 5, Aberdeen 1 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals, Livingston has 1 out of 5, and Aberdeen none. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Livingston, 2 times for Aberdeen. Livingston most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (29% each), while Aberdeen scores most from the 61st to the 75th minute (30%). Both teams concede most often between the 46-60 minute mark (50%), with Aberdeen also conceding 50% in the final stages (76-90). Overall, neither team is particularly high-scoring, but they aren't strictly low-scoring either: average goals are close to 2.5, and over 2.5 goals occurred in only 3 out of their last 10 combined matches. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems reasonable, considering both teams rarely play in high-scoring games, and over 2.5 goals were seen in just 3 of their last 10 combined matches.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Livingston averages 3.6 corners per game, while Aberdeen averages 4.2. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.83, under 8.5 at 1.93. Based on the averages, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, as both teams regularly deliver 3-4 corners per match, and over 9.5 corners occurred in the majority of their recent encounters.