Prediction for match Livingston — Kilmarnock, 10.01.2026

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

The Scottish Premiership match between Livingston and Kilmarnock is scheduled for January 10, 2026. The bookmakers offer odds of 2.21 for a Livingston win, 3.24 for a draw, and 3.32 for a Kilmarnock victory. In terms of probability distribution, Livingston has a 42.59% chance, a draw is at 29.05%, and Kilmarnock is at 28.35%. For the over/under 2.5 goals market, the odds are 2.04 for over and 1.75 for under, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last 5 games, Livingston averages 46.8%, while Kilmarnock averages 43.2%. The average number of yellow cards is 2.2 for Livingston and 2.8 for Kilmarnock. Livingston commits 15.2 fouls per game, Kilmarnock 12.6, and both teams average 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Livingston lost 0-1 to Hearts (03.01.2026), 1-3 to Dundee United (30.12.2025), and 2-4 to Celtic (27.12.2025). Kilmarnock lost 1-3 to Hibernian (03.01.2026), 1-2 to Dundee FC (30.12.2025), and drew 0-0 with St. Mirren (27.12.2025). Their last head-to-head match on August 2, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw.

Goals Statistics

Livingston has an average total of 3.2 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 2.2. Kilmarnock has an average total of 2.2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Livingston had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Kilmarnock had none. In the second half, Livingston had 2 out of 5, Kilmarnock 3 out of 5. Livingston scores most frequently in the 0-15 (29%), 61-75 (29%), and 76-90 (29%) intervals, while Kilmarnock scores in the 46-60 and 76-90 (both 40%) intervals. Livingston is vulnerable to conceding early (0-15 and 31-45 both 33%), while Kilmarnock concedes evenly throughout the halves. Given that both teams frequently play over 2.5 goals and Livingston consistently concedes, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Livingston averages 5.2 corners over the last 5 matches, while Kilmarnock averages 3.6. Both teams have had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. The line for over 9.5 corners is at 1.61, under is at 2.09. Livingston is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.76. Given both teams' ability to create chances, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the frequency and average corner stats.