Prediction for match Livingston — St. Mirren

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Scottish Premiership on 28.02.2026, Livingston will face St. Mirren. The odds for a St. Mirren win are 2.12, for Livingston - 3.28, and for a draw - 3.44. According to the probabilities, St. Mirren is given a 44.20% chance of winning, Livingston 28.57%, and a draw 27.24%. St. Mirren is considered the most likely winner, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, making the over/under line particularly appealing. The bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.91 stands out, reflecting the recent match dynamics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Livingston's last three matches, they drew 2-2 with Rangers (22.02.2026), drew 2-2 with Dundee FC (14.02.2026), and lost 1-2 to Celtic (11.02.2026). St. Mirren lost 0-5 to Motherwell (21.02.2026), lost 0-2 to Hibernian (14.02.2026), and played 3-4 against Kilmarnock (11.02.2026). In their head-to-head on 20.01.2026, Livingston and St. Mirren ended in a 1-1 draw. In additional metrics, Livingston averaged 34.2% possession, made 12 fouls, received 2.4 yellow cards, and recorded 1.4 offsides per game over five matches. St. Mirren had 41.6% possession, 16 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 2.4 offsides. These figures indicate a fairly aggressive style of play from both teams, especially in terms of fouls and cards.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Livingston - St. Mirren

In Livingston's last five matches, the average number of goals per game was 3.2, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2 goals. St. Mirren's average total goals in the same period was 3, with 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Livingston had 4 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, while St. Mirren had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Livingston had more than 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, St. Mirren in 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 matches with over 1.5 goals. By time intervals, Livingston most frequently scored in the first 15 minutes (57%), and conceded evenly in the first 30 minutes (33% in each interval). St. Mirren scored most often at the end of halves: 43% of goals between 31 and 45 minutes and the same from 76 to 90 minutes. St. Mirren's conceded goals are concentrated between 46-60 minutes (38%). These data confirm that both teams are prone to scoring periods, with Livingston particularly dangerous early on and St. Mirren at the end of halves. Given the high average scoring and frequent over 2.5 goals for Livingston, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Bets

In the last five matches, Livingston averaged 4.2 corners, and St. Mirren 5.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Livingston had 5 out of 5 matches over, and St. Mirren 4 out of 5. Among the offered totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.52, under 9.5 at 2.27. St. Mirren is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.73. Overall, both teams regularly deliver many corners, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match. It's also worth noting that Livingston consistently exceeded 9.5 corners in all five recent games, and St. Mirren in four out of five.