Prediction for match Lokomotiv Moscow — Spartak Moscow, 26.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Russian Cup on November 26, Lokomotiv Moscow will face Spartak Moscow. This clash between two capital clubs always generates great interest, and the betting odds reflect the intensity of this matchup. Lokomotiv Moscow is given odds of 2.39 to win, while Spartak Moscow has odds of 2.98, and a draw is priced at 3.74. The probability distribution is as follows: 40.97% for a Lokomotiv win, 32.86% for a Spartak win, and 26.18% for a draw. There is no clear favorite, but Lokomotiv is slightly favored. In matches like these, details can play a crucial role, and the odds reflect the current balance of power.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lokomotiv Moscow has averaged 49.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Spartak Moscow, over the same period, has maintained 57.8% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 17.6 fouls, and averaged 1.8 offsides. In Lokomotiv's last three matches: November 23 - Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar 1-1, November 9 - Lokomotiv Moscow vs Orenburg 1-0, November 1 - Zenit vs Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0. For Spartak: November 22 - Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow 1-0, November 9 - Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow 1-2, November 2 - Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow 2-1. In their last head-to-head on November 6, Spartak Moscow defeated Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1, with over 2.5 goals in the match. Previous encounters have also been high-scoring: August 9 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow 4-2, November 23 Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow 5-2, September 28 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow 3-1, April 28 Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The total goals statistics from the last five matches suggest cautious play: Lokomotiv had only 1 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, Spartak had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Lokomotiv had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Spartak had 0 out of 5. In the second half, Lokomotiv did not surpass the over 1.5 goals mark, while Spartak did so in 3 out of 5. Both teams have averaged 2 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. Lokomotiv tends to score most frequently in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% of the time each), while Spartak scores most often in the 46-60 minute interval (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Lokomotiv concedes 50% in the 0-15 and 61-75 intervals, Spartak 50% in the 46-60. These stats confirm that both teams can capitalize on different segments of the match for attacks. However, the average totals and frequency of over 2.5 goals are not high, and both teams show similar attacking and defensive potential. The most logical bet seems to be both teams to score: yes - odds 1.58. Both teams regularly find the net, with an average scoring rate of 1.2 goals, and recent head-to-heads have often featured both teams scoring.

Corner Betting

On corners, Lokomotiv Moscow averages 3.8 per game, while Spartak Moscow averages 3.2. In their last five matches, Lokomotiv had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, Spartak had 0 out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is set at 2.00, under at 1.80. There is no clear favorite in terms of corner outcomes, with odds being roughly equal. Based on statistics, Lokomotiv tends to have higher corner counts, while Spartak does not. A logical bet would be on under 9.5 corners at 1.80, considering Spartak's frequency and both teams' average figures.