Prediction for match Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit

Match Analysis: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit

In the Russian Premier League on April 22, Lokomotiv Moscow will face Zenit. The odds are as follows: Zenit to win at 2.18, a draw at 3.56, and Lokomotiv Moscow to win at 3.62. According to the bookmakers, the probabilities are: Zenit 45.16%, Lokomotiv 27.19%, and draw 27.65%. Zenit stands out as the favorite, confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Lokomotiv Moscow's last five matches: April 18, 2026 - Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow - 0-1, April 12, 2026 - Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala - 1-1, April 5, 2026 - Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow - 2-1. Zenit's recent results: April 19, 2026 - Dynamo Makhachkala vs Zenit - 0-1, April 12, 2026 - Zenit vs Krasnodar - 1-1, April 4, 2026 - Zenit vs Krylia Sovetov - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Zenit defeated Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0. Average stats over five matches: Lokomotiv has 54.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 16 fouls, 1.4 offsides; Zenit has 52.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, 0.6 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Lokomotiv Moscow has an average total goals of 3.0, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. Zenit has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.8 and conceding just 0.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Lokomotiv and 2 out of 5 for Zenit. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for both teams, while in the second half, Lokomotiv had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Zenit 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Lokomotiv scores most often between 16-30 minutes (36%) and concedes between 61-75 (50%). Zenit scores most frequently in two intervals - 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), and concedes between 61-75 (43%). Given the teams' average scoring, Lokomotiv's over 2.5 goals record, and Zenit's attacking profile, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 seems reasonable.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Lokomotiv Moscow earns 5.4 corners per match, Zenit 4.0. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred once for each team. The line is set at 9.5 corners: over 9.5 at odds of 2.18, under 9.5 at 1.66. Based on recent games, both teams do not frequently surpass high corner totals, but Lokomotiv consistently delivers more than 5 per match. A bet on corners closer to 9-10 seems justified, but given the current trend, a moderate number of corners is more likely.