Prediction for match Lorient — Auxerre

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1 on March 1, 2026, Lorient will face Auxerre. According to the 1X2 odds, bookmakers favor Lorient: a win for Lorient is priced at 2.14, a draw at 3.38, and a win for Auxerre at 3.98. In terms of probabilities: Lorient has a 46.07% chance, a draw is at 29.17%, and Auxerre at 24.77%. This setup reflects Lorient's advantage in current form and scoring ability, as well as higher scoring rates in recent matches. Meanwhile, the odds on totals and both teams to score also suggest moderate scoring with a clear edge for Lorient in attacking potential.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Lorient in their last five matches has an average possession of 56.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 8.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Auxerre, on the other hand, has 42.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, Lorient played as follows: 22.02.2026 - Nice vs Lorient 3-3, 15.02.2026 - Lorient vs Angers 2-0, 07.02.2026 - Brest vs Lorient 2-0. Auxerre's last three matches were: 22.02.2026 - Auxerre vs Rennes 0-3, 15.02.2026 - Metz vs Auxerre 1-3, 08.02.2026 - Auxerre vs Paris FC 0-0. The last head-to-head encounter on 17.08.2025 ended with a 1-0 victory for Auxerre.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Lorient vs Auxerre Match

In terms of scoring, Lorient averages 3 goals per match over the last five games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Auxerre averages 1.6 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals, Lorient has 2 out of 5, and Auxerre also has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for both teams, but in the second half, Lorient achieved over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, while Auxerre did so only once. Lorient most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (36%), while Auxerre scores at the end, from the 76th to 90th minute (100%). In terms of goals conceded: Lorient is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), and Auxerre at the end, 76th to 90th minute (43%). Given that Lorient consistently scores nearly two goals per game, and Auxerre is limited to 0.6 goals per match, a bet on both teams not to score seems justified. The odds for BTTS: No is 1.79. Moreover, Lorient has a clear advantage in attacking actions and finishing chances, while Auxerre struggles to create and convert dangerous opportunities. In their last five matches, Auxerre has twice drawn 0-0 and lost 0-3 once, confirming their low attacking potential. Lorient, on the other hand, has regularly found the back of the net, especially in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Lorient averages 4.8 per game, while Auxerre averages 4. In their last five matches, Lorient has exceeded the 9.5 corner total three times, while Auxerre has done so only once. When considering the corner total, the average of both teams is 8.8, close to the 8.5 line. For a corner total of 8.5, both options are available: over 8.5 is priced at 1.64, under 8.5 at 2.12. Lorient is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.72. In this match, it is logical to expect flank activity from Lorient, which may lead to an increased number of corners, especially if the team takes the lead and puts pressure on the opponent's goal. Auxerre can also earn a few corners, but to a lesser extent, given their attacking metrics and possession. Overall, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering the average values of both teams and Lorient's frequency of achieving it.