Prediction for match Lorient — Nantes, 31.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes is scheduled for January 31, 2026. According to bookmakers, Lorient is the favorite with odds of 1.91 for a win, reflecting a 51.56% chance of success. A draw is priced at 3.60, which corresponds to a 27.35% probability, while a Nantes victory is at 4.67 with a 21.09% chance. This suggests that Lorient's current form is rated higher, giving them a better chance for a positive result in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

Lorient has been showing solid performance in secondary metrics: an average possession rate of 42.4% over the last five matches, with an average of 0.6 yellow cards, 7.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Nantes has higher possession at 51.4%, with 2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Lorient defeated Rennes 2-0 (24.01.2026), Monaco 3-1 (16.01.2026), and O Haut Lyonnais 3-1 (10.01.2026). Nantes lost to Nice 1-4 (25.01.2026), was defeated by Paris FC 1-2 (18.01.2026), and played a high-scoring game with Nice 4-6 (11.01.2026). Their last head-to-head on November 23, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Lorient - Nantes Match

Over the last five matches, Lorient has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, indicating a strong defense. Nantes averages 2 goals scored and conceded, suggesting a more open play style. Lorient has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Nantes has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Lorient had over 1.5 goals once, and Nantes twice. In the second half, Lorient had two occurrences, and Nantes three. Lorient's average total is 2.4, while Nantes is at 4. Lorient tends to score most frequently between the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90, 44%). Nantes scores most frequently between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute marks (33% each) and concedes between 16-30 (27%). Considering both teams' scoring averages and the frequency of over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.78 seems logical: both teams have the potential to score, especially in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In the last five matches, Lorient has averaged 3.6 corners, while Nantes has averaged 1.8. For over 9.5 corners, Lorient has hit the mark 2 out of 5 times, while Nantes has not. The closest total to the average sum (5.4) is the 8.5 line: odds for over 8.5 are 1.59, and for under 2.15. Lorient is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.47. Based on the statistics, the match doesn't promise a high number of corners, and a bet on under 8.5 corners looks justified. Also, considering the difference in averages, Lorient is a good bet to win on corners.