Prediction for match Lorient — Nice, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Nice

On November 30, Lorient and Nice will face off in Ligue 1 France. The odds for Lorient to win are 2.55, for Nice to win are 3.00, and for a draw are 3.46. Based on recent data, the probabilities are estimated as follows: Lorient 38.65%, draw 28.49%, and Nice 32.86%. Thus, Lorient is the favorite according to percentages, but there is no significant gap between the teams. The outcome distribution suggests a fairly even contest, where both sides can expect their opportunities.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Lorient's average possession over the last 5 matches is 44.2%, while Nice's is 46.2%. Lorient receives 0.6 yellow cards per game, Nice receives 2. Lorient averages 8.8 fouls, Nice 11, and offsides are 1.6 and 1 respectively. Lorient's last three matches were: 23.11.2025 Nantes vs Lorient 1-1, 09.11.2025 Lorient vs Toulouse 1-1, 02.11.2025 Lens vs Lorient 3-0. Nice's last three matches: 27.11.2025 Porto vs Nice 3-0, 21.11.2025 Nice vs Marseille 1-5, 09.11.2025 Metz vs Nice 2-1. In their head-to-head on 19.04.2024, Nice beat Lorient 3-0, and the over 2.5 goals bet was successful.

Goals by Match Statistics

Analyzing the totals over the last five matches, Lorient had over 2.5 goals once, while Nice had this outcome 4 times out of 5. In the first half, Lorient saw over 1.5 goals once, Nice three times. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice. On average, Lorient scores 2.2 goals per game over the five-match span, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Nice averages 3.4 goals per match, also scoring 0.6 but conceding 2.8. Lorient most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Nice scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each). In terms of goals conceded, Lorient is vulnerable between the 61st-75th minutes (40%), and Nice most frequently concedes between the 31st-45th minutes (44%). These trends indicate noticeable defensive instability for Nice and a certain activation of both teams at the end of halves. However, both teams have very low average goals scored - 0.6, indicating issues with finishing. Considering Nice's frequent over 2.5 goals and both defenses' vulnerabilities, betting on both teams to score: yes seems logical. The odds for this option are 1.65.

Corners in the Match

On average, Lorient takes 3.8 corners per match, Nice takes 4. Over the last five games, both teams had two matches with over 9.5 corners. Based on the average sum (7.8), the closest total is 7.5 corners. For this, the odds are: over 7.5 corners - 1.32, under 7.5 - 3.07. There's also a bet on winning the corner count: Lorient is the favorite with odds of 1.85. Overall, neither team stands out for a high number of corners, and the averages are close to the lower boundary of standard totals. A bet on over 7.5 corners seems most logical, considering both teams' stats.