Prediction for match Lorient — Paris FC, 04.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On February 4, in the Coupe de France, Lorient will face Paris FC. According to the 1X2 odds, Lorient's victory is priced at 2.18, a draw at 3.26, and Paris FC's win at 3.30. In terms of probability percentages, Lorient has a 42.93% chance, a draw 28.71%, and Paris FC 28.36%. Lorient stands out as the favorite, but the difference between the teams in terms of chances is not too significant, making the match potentially tense. The over 2.0 goals market is highlighted at 1.52, along with both teams to score: yes at 1.81, no at 1.90. Lorient's individual total over 1 is priced at 1.51, which could also be considered for betting.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lorient recorded the following results: January 31 - Lorient 2-1 Nantes, January 24 - Rennes 0-2 Lorient, January 16 - Monaco 1-3 Lorient. Paris FC played as follows: January 31 - Paris FC 2-2 Marseille, January 25 - Paris FC 0-0 Angers, January 18 - Nantes 1-2 Paris FC. In their head-to-head meeting on October 3, 2025, Paris FC defeated Lorient 2-0. Over the last five matches, Lorient averaged 46.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Paris FC averaged 45.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. These statistics show that both teams play quite disciplined and do not engage in overly aggressive play. In their last five matches, Lorient often played high-scoring games, while Paris FC alternated between draws and wins, indicating stability for both teams in this period.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last five matches, both teams had three games over 2.5 goals and two under. Lorient averages 2.2 goals scored per game, concedes 0.8, with an overall average total of 3. Paris FC scores 1.2, concedes 1, with an overall total of 2.2. By halves, Lorient had only one game out of five with a total over 1.5 in the first half, but three times in the second half. Paris FC had no games with over 1.5 in the first half, but three out of five in the second half. The most frequent interval for Lorient's goals is the 76-90th minute (40%), while for Paris FC it's 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (40% each). For goals conceded, Lorient also stands out in the 76-90 interval (40%), and Paris FC in the 46-60 interval (33%). This trend indicates both teams tend to be more active in the second half, especially towards the end. Based on these data, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.52 seems most logical: both teams regularly score, and goals often occur in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lorient averages 3.2 corners per match, Paris FC 1.8. In the last five games, Lorient only surpassed the 9.5 corner total once, and Paris FC never did. The line for corner totals offers over 4.5 at 1.04 and under 4.5 at 6.95, among other values, but the total closest to the average sum of corners for both teams (5) is 4.5. Based on this data, the match does not look promising for high corner totals. On average, both teams do not take many corners, which is confirmed by their recent games. It makes sense to consider a low corner total if choosing a bet in this direction.