Prediction for match Lorient — Toulouse, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Lorient vs Toulouse

On November 9th, in France's Ligue 1, Lorient will face Toulouse. The odds for Lorient to win are 3.00, a draw is at 3.30, and a victory for Toulouse is 2.40. Toulouse is the favorite according to the odds, with a 39.57% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is 28.78%, while Lorient has a 31.65% chance. This distribution of odds and percentages reflects a moderately close contest, where the visitors have a slightly better chance of achieving a positive result.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Lorient maintained an average possession of 43.4%, committed an average of 8.8 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and received 1.4 yellow cards. Toulouse had 42.8% possession, 14 fouls, 0.2 offsides, and 2.4 yellow cards. In their last five encounters, Lorient played as follows: 02.11 Lens - Lorient 3-0, 29.10 Lorient - PSG 1-1, 26.10 Angers - Lorient 2-0. During the same period, Toulouse's results were: 02.11 Toulouse - Le Havre 0-0, 29.10 Toulouse - Rennes 2-2, 25.10 Monaco - Toulouse 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 28.04.2024, Lorient lost to Toulouse 1-2, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In a series of five games, Lorient scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded 2.2. Toulouse, on the other hand, scored 1.6 times per game and conceded only 0.8. Lorient's average total goals per match was 3, while Toulouse's was 2.4. During this period, Lorient exceeded the 1.5 goals total in the first half three times out of five, while Toulouse did so only once. In the second halves, both teams played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. For the total over 2.5 goals: Lorient hit it 2 out of 5 times, Toulouse 3 out of 5. Lorient's goals were often scored in the intervals 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (each 27%), while Toulouse scored most frequently in 0-15 and 76-90 (each 38%). Toulouse is more likely to concede after the break: 46-60 and 76-90 (each 50%). Considering Toulouse's stable defense and Lorient's low scoring, a bet on total under 2.5 at 1.73 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Lorient over five matches is 4.4, and for Toulouse, it's 6. For the total over 9.5 corners: Lorient achieved it once out of five, Toulouse three times. The odds for over 9 corners are 1.92, under 9 is 1.88. In the corner outcome line, there is no favorite: both sides are at 2.05. Based on recent matches, Toulouse tends to earn more corners, and a total of 9 corners seems realistic for a bet on over, especially considering the attacking activity of the visitors.