Prediction for match Ludogorets — Celta, 27.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the UEFA Europa League on November 27, Ludogorets will face Celta. According to the 1X2 odds, Celta is the favorite with odds of 1.80 for their victory, a draw is priced at 3.84, and a Ludogorets win is at 5.01. The probability distribution for the main outcomes is as follows: Ludogorets - 19.65%, draw - 25.64%, Celta - 54.70%. This setup highlights the advantage of the Spanish team at the start, with a gap of over 29 percentage points between the favorite and the second most likely outcome. This is one of the most significant gaps among the matches of the current round. The match promises to be interesting in terms of attacking potential from both teams, considering their recent performances in their leagues and European competitions.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Ludogorets maintains 53.2% possession, averages 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Celta, over the same period, holds 46.2% possession, receives 2 cautions, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside an average of 3 times per match. In their last three games, Ludogorets played as follows: November 23 - Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets 0-2, November 9 - Ludogorets - Arda Kardzhali 2-3, November 6 - Ferencvaros - Ludogorets 3-1. Celta's last three matches were: November 22 - Alaves - Celta 0-1, November 9 - Celta - Barcelona 2-4, November 6 - Dinamo Zagreb - Celta 0-3. These results indicate that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, with Celta regularly achieving victories, including in European matches.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In Ludogorets' last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, while for Celta it happened 4 out of 5 times. In the first half, Ludogorets saw the total over 1.5 twice, while Celta did so in 4 out of 5. In the second halves, Ludogorets had 3 occurrences of over 1.5, Celta had 2. The average goal statistics over a five-match span are identical: both teams have 3.6 goals per match, but Ludogorets scored 1.6 and conceded 2, while Celta scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4. This confirms the attacking nature of both teams and their tendency for high-scoring matches. Regarding goal intervals, Ludogorets most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while Celta scores most often towards the end of the first half (31-45 minute, 57%). Ludogorets most frequently concedes in two intervals: 16-30 and 76-90 (both 33%). Celta also concedes most often at the end of the first half (31-45, 31%). These patterns suggest a high likelihood of goals in both halves, especially in the second half. The combination of these factors leads to a bet on the total over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.07, as both teams regularly play high-scoring games, and their average goal statistics match the selected total.

Corners in the Match

Ludogorets averages 6.2 corners per match, while Celta averages 2.4. In Ludogorets' last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners was achieved twice, whereas Celta had no such occurrences. The line highlights a total of over 8.5 corners at 1.65 and under 8.5 at 1.65. There are also odds for a win on corners, with Celta as the favorite at 1.96. Statistically, Ludogorets delivers significantly more corners, possibly due to their style of play and frequent possession. A bet on Ludogorets' individual total corners over 4.5 looks logical, considering their average statistics, but the main match total also seems achievable if Celta is forced to defend for most of the time.