Prediction for match Lyon — Basel, 23.10.2025

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Basel

In the UEFA Europa League on October 23, Lyon will face Basel. The French side is favored with odds of 1.55 for a win, while a draw is priced at 4.50, and a victory for the Swiss team is at 5.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lyon - 60.99%, draw - 21.01%, Basel - 18.01%. This setup highlights Lyon's advantage in this matchup, with a noticeable gap between the favorite and the challengers.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Lyon has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, with a total average of 2.4 goals per match. They also average 7 corners per game and have 62.2% ball possession. Recent results include a 2-3 loss to Nice on October 18, a 1-2 defeat to Toulouse on October 5, and a 2-0 victory over Red Bull Salzburg on October 2. Basel, in their last five games, has scored an average of 2 goals per game while conceding only 0.8, with an average total of 2.8 goals. They average 4.8 corners and have 50.4% possession. Notable results include a 3-0 win over Winterthur on October 18, a 3-0 victory against Servette on October 5, and a 2-0 win over Stuttgart on October 2. There have been no recent head-to-head matches between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Lyon had over 2.5 goals in 2 games and under in 3, while Basel had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals per match is 2.4 for Lyon and 2.8 for Basel. By halves: Lyon had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 matches, Basel in 3, and in the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 matches. In terms of goal timing, Lyon often scores in the first 15 minutes (43%), while Basel scores evenly at the start, end of the first half, and start of the second half (25% each). Lyon is most vulnerable to conceding at the end of matches (76-90 minutes, 43%), while Basel is vulnerable at the start and end of the first half (29% each).

Corners in the Match

Lyon averages 7 corners per game over their last 5 matches, while Basel averages 4.8. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners is 2 out of 5 for Lyon and 3 for Basel. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.73, and under 9.5 is 2.00. Lyon is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.36.