Prediction for match Lyon — Nantes, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Nantes

Lyon and Nantes face off on November 30 in Ligue 1. The odds for a Lyon victory are 1.52, indicating a 64.93% probability. A draw is priced at 4.68 (21.09%), while a win for Nantes is at 7.06 (13.98%). Based on these odds and probabilities, Lyon is considered the favorite for the upcoming match, as evidenced by the 43.84 percentage point gap between the first and second probabilities. Such a gap in 1X2 outcomes is rare in matches between comparable teams, highlighting the bookmakers' high regard for Lyon's strength.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Lyon has averaged 56.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Nantes, in their last five matches, has averaged 44.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Lyon's last three matches: 27.11.2025 - Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon 0-6, 23.11.2025 - Auxerre vs Lyon 0-0, 09.11.2025 - Lyon vs PSG 2-3. Nantes' last three matches: 23.11.2025 - Nantes vs Lorient 1-1, 08.11.2025 - Le Havre vs Nantes 1-1, 02.11.2025 - Nantes vs Metz 0-2. In the head-to-head match on 26.01.2025, Nantes and Lyon drew 1-1, which corresponds to a total under 2.5.

Goals by Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Lyon has scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1 per game, while Nantes has scored 1.4 and conceded 2. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Lyon had over 1.5 goals 3 times, and Nantes 2 times. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice. Lyon most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (60%), while Nantes is most dangerous in the final minutes, from the 76th to the 90th (50%). Lyon's goals conceded peak at 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (22% each). Nantes is most vulnerable in the 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each). Average total goals: Lyon - 2.6 per match, Nantes - 3.4. Both clubs have attacking potential, and given Nantes' defensive struggles (2 goals conceded on average), a high-scoring match is likely. The statistics on halves and intervals also suggest a goal-rich game, especially considering neither team is heavily defensive. The most logical bet is over 2.5 goals at 1.77.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lyon averages 5.4 corners per match, while Nantes averages 3. The frequency of over 9.5 corners has occurred in 3 of the last 5 games for both teams. With an average total of 8.4, the closest total to this is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.15. Lyon is favored to win the corner count at odds of 1.20. Statistically, both teams tend to be active on the flanks, but Lyon more frequently earns set pieces, which could lead to more deliveries into the box. Considering the regularity of this total in recent matches, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical.