Prediction for match Lyon — PAOK, 29.01.2026

Match Analysis: Lyon vs PAOK

On January 29, in the Europa League, Lyon will face PAOK. The odds for a Lyon victory are 1.74, a draw is at 4.14, and a PAOK win is at 5.01. In terms of probability: Lyon is given a 56.57% chance, a draw 23.78%, and PAOK 19.65%. Bookmakers see a victory for the French team as the most likely outcome, supported by both performance and defensive statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lyon has averaged 55.2% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 12.2 fouls, and been caught offside 1.2 times per game. During the same period, PAOK has averaged 57.8% possession, received 1.6 yellows, committed 11.4 fouls, and been caught offside 2.4 times. In their last three games, Lyon defeated Metz 5-2, Young Boys 1-0, and Brest 2-1. PAOK has won their last three matches against Real Betis 2-0, OFI 3-0, and Panetolikos 3-0. These results indicate both teams are in good attacking form, with Lyon consistently scoring at least two goals, while PAOK has not conceded in their last three games.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Lyon hit the over 2.5 goals mark 4 out of 5 times, while PAOK did so 2 out of 5 times. In the first half, Lyon saw over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 instances, PAOK in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Lyon played over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, PAOK in 1 out of 5. The average number of goals in Lyon's matches is 3.6, while for PAOK it's 2.4. Lyon scores 2.6 per game, PAOK 2, with Lyon conceding 1 and PAOK just 0.4. Lyon most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%), and PAOK also in this interval (33%). Lyon concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (42%), while PAOK concedes 33% of their goals in the 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals. Given Lyon's high scoring rate, their frequent over 2.5 totals, and PAOK's decent scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lyon averages 3.2 corners per match, PAOK 7. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Lyon had 1 out of 5, while PAOK had 4 out of 5. The closest odds to the average total corners line are over 9.5 (2.09) and under 9.5 (1.66). A win on corners for Lyon is at 1.40. Considering PAOK's high activity in corners and both teams' steady corner-taking, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.