Prediction for match Macarthur — Melbourne City

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Macarthur and Melbourne City in the Australian A-League will take place on January 24, 2026. The odds for Melbourne City to win are set at 2.26, for Macarthur to succeed at 3.31, and a draw is priced at 3.44. In terms of probability percentages, Melbourne City has 42.74%, Macarthur has 29.18%, and a draw has 28.08%. The option for over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.90, while the opposite outcome is at 1.96. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.67, no at 2.08. The over 2.25 goals option is priced at 1.61, while under 2.75 is at 1.68. The option for over 2.75 goals is at 2.04, and under 2.25 is at 2.16. The odds for Melbourne City to win on corners are at 1.88.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Macarthur averaged 47% possession, recorded 1.6 yellow cards, committed 11 fouls, and had 2.4 offsides per game. Melbourne City, over the same period, showed 62.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides. Macarthur's last three games: January 18, 2026 - Central Coast Mariners vs. Macarthur - 1-1; January 10, 2026 - Macarthur vs. Sydney - 0-3; January 5, 2026 - Macarthur vs. Auckland - 1-1. Melbourne City's games: January 16, 2026 - Melbourne City vs. Auckland - 2-1; January 11, 2026 - Melbourne City vs. Newcastle Jets - 0-1; January 6, 2026 - Melbourne City vs. Brisbane Roar - 1-0. In the head-to-head match on December 23, 2025, Melbourne City and Macarthur played to a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Macarthur vs. Melbourne City Match

In a five-match series, Macarthur has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. Melbourne City has an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches ending over, and 3 under. By halves, Macarthur has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half. Melbourne City similarly has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. For goal intervals, Macarthur most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), and concedes between the 31st-45th minutes (36%). Melbourne City scores 50% of their goals between the 76th-90th minutes, and their conceded goals are evenly distributed across five intervals at 20% each. Given Macarthur's average scoring and the trend for goals in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems reasonable.

Corners in the Match

The average corners for both teams over the last five games is 6.4 each. For total corners over 9.5, Macarthur has 3 out of 5 matches over, and Melbourne City has 4 out of 5. For a total of 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 at 1.53, under 9.5 at 2.24. Melbourne City to win on corners is at 1.88. It is expected that both teams will show high activity in flank deliveries, and betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified.